ProbCast
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?36%▲0.0US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?55%▲18.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?79%▲0.9Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?14%▼36.3Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?24%▼25.6US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?18%▼5.0Will Bryan Johnson dunk before EOY 2027?26%▼29.4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?20%▼0.1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?14%▼1.0Will Bryan Johnson dunk in 2026?11%▼22.2Will an AI agent be directly convicted of a crime before 2030?5%▼45.0Will Canada have at least 1GW of space to ground power transmission in 2045?16%▼34.1Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?7%▲0.3Will twitter / x.com be open source before September?16%▼15.8Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?83%▲31.4Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21%▼3.0

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