ProbCast.coOdds Reliability

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Wednesday, September 9, 2026

The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.

Meaningful moves

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Moved up 12.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+12.523%Confirmed move
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?

Moved up 8.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+8.555%Confirmed move
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?

Moved down 1.9 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

-1.988%Confirmed move
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Moved down 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

-4.019%Confirmed move
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+2.014%Confirmed move

The noise to ignore

Will this market get any comments before it closes?

Moved up 59.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

+59.099%Likely noise
Ethereum price at Sep 10, 2026 at 12am EDT?

Moved up 11.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

+11.545%Likely noise
Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE)

Moved up 56.9 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

+56.980%Likely noise

Settled (55 in 24h)

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.