Will Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.0%.
- Final market price
- 98.0%
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026? The final Manifold price was 98.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 12, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 24, 2026 at 8:31 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 9, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if an official cryptocurrency meme coin co-founded, backed, or officially launched by Hunter Biden (specifically the announced $LAPTOP token on the Base network) officially launches and is available for public trading on or before September 9, 2026 (by 11:59 PM UTC). To resolve to YES, the launch must be verified by on-chain deployment of the official token contract wit…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if an official cryptocurrency meme coin co-founded, backed, or officially launched by Hunter Biden (specifically the announced $LAPTOP token on the Base network) officially launches and is available for public trading on or before September 9, 2026 (by 11:59 PM UTC). To resolve to YES, the launch must be verified by on-chain deployment of the official token contract with active trading liquidity, and confirmed by reputable financial or cryptocurrency news outlets (such as The Wall Street Journal, CoinDesk, or The Block), or via Hunter Biden's official verified X account @HunterBiden. If no official token is launched by the end of September 9, 2026, if the launch is postponed to a later date, or if the announcement is revealed to be a hoax, this market will resolve to NO. Copycat or unofficial "LAPTOP" tokens deployed by unrelated third parties do not qualify. Background On September 7, 2026, Hunter Biden announced plans to launch a meme coin called $LAPTOP on Coinbase's Ethereum Layer-2 network, Base, scheduled for September 9, 2026. The token's name references the controversial laptop left at a Delaware repair shop in 2019. According to reports from The Wall Street Journal, Hunter Biden is part of the project's founding team, which will hold 30% of the 1 billion token supply (locked for six months and vested over two years). Another 20% of the supply is designated for airdrops, targeting individuals who lost money on Donald Trump's $TRUMP meme coin, subscribers to Biden's Substack, and a mailing list run by video journalist Andrew Callaghan. Following the announcement, multiple copycat tokens immediately appeared on other networks. This market tracks whether the official project successfully goes live on its targeted launch date. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.