| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Polymarket | Crypto | 100% | -0.1 pts | $2.5M | 93 | 77 | open |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Polymarket | Politics | 1% | -0.5 pts | $1.8M | 93 | 81 | open |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Polymarket | Politics | 9% | -2.0 pts | $1.6M | 92 | 76 | open |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 0% | 0.0 pts | $1.2M | 95 | 89 | open |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 0% | 0.0 pts | $864.7K | 93 | 87 | open |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Polymarket | Politics | 1% | -0.9 pts | $850.8K | 92 | 71 | open |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? | Polymarket | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $775.2K | 80 | 58 | open |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Polymarket | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $678.5K | 89 | 84 | open |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 1% | +0.1 pts | $653.4K | 91 | 85 | open |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Politics | 50% | +2.0 pts | $611.6K | 85 | 71 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $507.1K | 78 | 62 | open |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 0% | 0.0 pts | $490.6K | 91 | 86 | open |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 0% | 0.0 pts | $477.3K | 88 | 84 | open |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Polymarket | Politics | 24% | -2.0 pts | $459.4K | 88 | 76 | open |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 99% | 0.0 pts | $443.8K | 92 | 86 | open |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | Polymarket | Crypto | 100% | 0.0 pts | $431.3K | 80 | 63 | open |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $430.5K | 80 | 63 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $422.7K | 79 | 62 | open |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? | Polymarket | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $392.8K | 79 | 57 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 100% | 0.0 pts | $385.8K | 79 | 62 | open |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Polymarket | Geopolitics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $371.2K | 77 | 61 | open |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Polymarket | Politics | 60% | -3.0 pts | $356.1K | 86 | 58 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $320.5K | 77 | 61 | open |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Polymarket | Politics | 41% | +2.7 pts | $320.4K | 87 | 58 | open |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 17% | -1.0 pts | $316.2K | 88 | 78 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $297.9K | 76 | 60 | open |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Polymarket | Politics | 21% | +1.5 pts | $296.3K | 84 | 71 | open |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 2% | -0.7 pts | $288.2K | 88 | 79 | open |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Polymarket | Geopolitics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $287K | 76 | 60 | open |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Polymarket | Crypto | 59% | -1.4 pts | $285.2K | 82 | 57 | open |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Polymarket | Politics | 4% | 0.0 pts | $280.2K | 85 | 82 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 100% | 0.0 pts | $278.8K | 77 | 61 | open |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Polymarket | Crypto | 3% | -0.1 pts | $271K | 78 | 61 | open |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Polymarket | Politics | 2% | -0.2 pts | $269.4K | 90 | 84 | open |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Polymarket | Geopolitics | 100% | 0.0 pts | $253.9K | 75 | 60 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $244.6K | 76 | 60 | open |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 4% | -0.1 pts | $237.8K | 84 | 80 | open |
| Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Polymarket | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $234.5K | 76 | 50 | open |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Crypto | 50% | -0.5 pts | $234.1K | 81 | 71 | open |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? | Polymarket | Crypto | 80% | -1.0 pts | $233K | 81 | 56 | open |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Polymarket | Crypto | 100% | 0.0 pts | $232.6K | 90 | 85 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $229.7K | 82 | 69 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $229.2K | 76 | 60 | open |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Polymarket | Politics | 40% | 0.0 pts | $227.5K | 85 | 82 | open |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $219.1K | 76 | 60 | open |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Polymarket | Politics | 77% | +0.1 pts | $210.8K | 82 | 68 | open |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Polymarket | Politics | 21% | +0.5 pts | $208.4K | 70 | 55 | open |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | Polymarket | Crypto | 40% | 0.0 pts | $207.4K | 82 | 79 | open |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Polymarket | Politics | 3% | +0.1 pts | $201.8K | 87 | 81 | open |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $201.7K | 85 | 82 | open |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | -0.3 pts | $201.4K | 83 | 77 | open |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | Polymarket | Geopolitics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $196.8K | 80 | 48 | open |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? | Polymarket | Crypto | 0% | 0.0 pts | $193.8K | 83 | 70 | open |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Polymarket | Crypto | 2% | +0.2 pts | $192.2K | 81 | 55 | open |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Polymarket | Politics | 28% | +2.0 pts | $185.5K | 83 | 72 | open |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Polymarket | Macro / Fed | 1% | 0.0 pts | $180.8K | 90 | 85 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 1% | 0.0 pts | $38.9K | 57 | 27 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 1% | 0.0 pts | $28.3K | 57 | 27 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 19% | +1.0 pts | $14.9K | 60 | 25 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 6% | 0.0 pts | $14K | 49 | 6 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 5% | -0.1 pts | $8.7K | 60 | 28 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 2% | +1.0 pts | $7.7K | 56 | 20 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 3% | 0.0 pts | $7.1K | 59 | 28 | open |
| Cats: The Jellicle Ball wins 2026 Tony Award for Best Revival of a Musical | Manifold | Geopolitics | 39% | +3.0 pts | $5.3K | 69 | 26 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 17% | 0.0 pts | $4.3K | 57 | 27 | open |
| Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race? | Manifold | Politics | 14% | -1.6 pts | $3.4K | 64 | 38 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 2% | -0.1 pts | $3.3K | 58 | 27 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 5% | +0.1 pts | $3.2K | 59 | 28 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 18% | 0.0 pts | $2.6K | 46 | 4 | open |
| Will the President be impeached before Sep 1, 2026? | Kalshi | Politics | 1% | 0.0 pts | $2.4K | 49 | 21 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 1% | +0.5 pts | $2.3K | 48 | 7 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 4% | 0.0 pts | $2.1K | 46 | 4 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 13% | 0.0 pts | $1.8K | 45 | 4 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 2% | 0.0 pts | $1.5K | 57 | 27 | open |
| Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | Politics | 7% | +0.4 pts | $1.4K | 54 | 22 | open |
| Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029? | Kalshi | Politics | 63% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 52 | 17 | open |
| Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 25% | -1.0 pts | $1.1K | 45 | 13 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 1% | 0.0 pts | $1.1K | 46 | 9 | open |
| Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 13% | +2.5 pts | $1K | 49 | 10 | open |
| Before 2029, will OpenAI derive less than 25% of revenue from token-priced API access? | Manifold | Crypto | 22% | 0.0 pts | $905 | 60 | 44 | open |
| Will Ryan Strophy get a girlfriend by the end of June? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 1% | 0.0 pts | $895 | 56 | 41 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 6% | -2.0 pts | $840.9 | 50 | 1 | open |
| Will Platner, El-Sayed, and Talarico all win their Senate seats? | Manifold | Politics | 33% | -5.9 pts | $755.5 | 61 | 12 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 10% | 0.0 pts | $737.3 | 43 | 2 | open |
| Will Hunter Biden run for US President during his lifetime? | Manifold | Politics | 26% | -4.9 pts | $716 | 59 | 13 | open |
| Will the President be impeached before Mar 1, 2027? | Kalshi | Politics | 30% | -0.5 pts | $705.7 | 50 | 19 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 44% | 0.0 pts | $684 | 31 | 0 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 1% | 0.0 pts | $667.8 | 55 | 26 | open |
| Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 35% | -0.2 pts | $640.1 | 59 | 33 | open |
| Will Hunter Biden run for US Congress or President during his lifetime? | Manifold | Politics | 31% | -6.2 pts | $623 | 59 | 11 | open |
| Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028? | Kalshi | Politics | 59% | +0.5 pts | $594.7 | 52 | 20 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 2% | 0.0 pts | $577.5 | 51 | 23 | open |
| Will the S&P500 close at 7650.00 or higher in June 2026? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 38% | -28.5 pts | $562 | 59 | 3 | open |
| Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war? | Manifold | Geopolitics | 43% | 0.0 pts | $550 | 59 | 43 | open |
| Will El Niño be declared before December 2026? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 87% | 0.0 pts | $500 | 49 | 21 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 3% | 0.0 pts | $491.1 | 54 | 25 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 43% | 0.0 pts | $368.1 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will artificial intelligence change everyday life more than the internet did | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 52% | +17.3 pts | $324.2 | 53 | 1 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 1% | -0.1 pts | $316 | 53 | 24 | open |
| Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 38% | -5.2 pts | $306 | 57 | 28 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $129,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 8% | 0.0 pts | $268.8 | 41 | 1 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 54% | 0.0 pts | $261 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | Crypto | 7% | 0.0 pts | $247 | 40 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 41% | +2.0 pts | $247 | 27 | 0 | open |
| Will Silver drop below $65 per ounce by close of market on Friday June 12? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 41% | 0.0 pts | $215.6 | 56 | 31 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 55% | 0.0 pts | $204 | 45 | 19 | open |
| Will the s&p500 close at 7,000.00 or less before 2028? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 57% | +4.5 pts | $176 | 56 | 12 | open |
| Will SPY close down on the day of the SpaceX IPO? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 42% | -1.7 pts | $173 | 56 | 32 | open |
| Will I pass my Power BI PL-300 exam on first attempt? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 60% | 0.0 pts | $168.1 | 51 | 38 | open |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? | Kalshi | Politics | 80% | 0.0 pts | $158.5 | 28 | 0 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $154.3 | 51 | 23 | open |
| Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 57% | 0.0 pts | $150 | 55 | 41 | open |
| Will I get a bf before I graduate high school? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 29% | 0.0 pts | $144 | 51 | 38 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 61% | +0.5 pts | $144 | 27 | 0 | open |
| Will Minnesota ARML score breakdowns be posted before EOD June 10? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 25% | 0.0 pts | $141 | 51 | 28 | open |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 15% | 0.0 pts | $125 | 33 | 0 | open |
| Will iran and usa stop the war permanent on 31.juni | Manifold | Geopolitics | 29% | -3.1 pts | $114.8 | 50 | 22 | open |
| Däilÿ Cöin Flip - Day 754 : Suggest the best expression | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 50% | 0.0 pts | $111 | 59 | 33 | open |
| Will there be rain during the Monaco GP? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 36% | 0.0 pts | $110 | 41 | 16 | open |
| Will July 2026 in Boston be one of the 5 warmest July's ever? | Manifold | Geopolitics | 66% | +2.8 pts | $103.2 | 50 | 30 | open |
| Will 1USD>97INR before 10th June 2026? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 20% | 0.0 pts | $100 | 41 | 6 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 3% | +1.0 pts | $97.1 | 38 | 0 | open |
| Will Hack Club Stardance add a gambling/feature that resembles probability-based games | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 6% | 0.0 pts | $91 | 41 | 16 | open |
| Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 67% | +22.0 pts | $84.3 | 49 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 55% | +0.5 pts | $79 | 26 | 0 | open |
| Gold price above 4,750.00 in June 2026 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 25% | 0.0 pts | $75 | 49 | 36 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 59% | +1.0 pts | $72 | 35 | 0 | open |
| Melbourne Auction clearance rates fall below 50% this weekend. | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 73% | 0.0 pts | $63 | 49 | 26 | open |
| Free Lottery (Faber–Jackson relation) | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 5% | 0.0 pts | $60.1 | 57 | 32 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 73% | +6.5 pts | $54 | 25 | 0 | open |
| Will someone buy 1 block today on mysterybox.art? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 48% | 0.0 pts | $46.7 | 39 | 14 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 77.0%? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 20% | 0.0 pts | $38.4 | 47 | 35 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. housing starts be at least 1.4 million (SAAR)? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 64% | 0.0 pts | $34.8 | 38 | 14 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 36% | 0.0 pts | $34 | 25 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 39% | -11.0 pts | $33 | 25 | 0 | open |
| Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 54% | 0.0 pts | $31.7 | 38 | 14 | open |
| Which country will be the most powerful in 2050 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 63% | 0.0 pts | $30 | 47 | 35 | open |
| Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 1% | +0.3 pts | $30 | 45 | 16 | open |
| Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month? | Manifold | AI / Tech | 20% | -3.9 pts | $29.3 | 47 | 17 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 77% | +18.0 pts | $29 | 24 | 0 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. manufacturing output rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 61% | -4.2 pts | $28.4 | 46 | 6 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 2% | 0.0 pts | $26 | 38 | 4 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 68% | 0.0 pts | $26 | 23 | 0 | open |
| Silver price above 90.000 in June 2026 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 36% | 0.0 pts | $25 | 38 | 14 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 88% | 0.0 pts | $24 | 23 | 0 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 99% | 0.0 pts | $23 | 37 | 3 | open |
| Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 41% | 0.0 pts | $22 | 46 | 34 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 70% | -1.0 pts | $21 | 24 | 0 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 4% | 0.0 pts | $20 | 28 | 0 | open |
| Will "Agent Foundations Reminds Me of Continental P..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 16% | 0.0 pts | $20 | 41 | 16 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 35% | 0.0 pts | $18.7 | 45 | 34 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in May 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 100% | 0.0 pts | $18 | 38 | 4 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. durable goods orders rise at least 1.0% month-over-month? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 32% | 0.0 pts | $17.8 | 45 | 34 | open |
| Will Russia control Slavyansk by the end of 2029? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 46% | 0.0 pts | $15 | 45 | 34 | open |
| Will SpaceX retail allocation be fully subscribed at 30%+ of initial offering? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 46% | 0.0 pts | $14.3 | 45 | 34 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 61% | 0.0 pts | $14 | 23 | 0 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 76% | 0.0 pts | $14 | 28 | 0 | open |
| Will May 2026 U.S. personal income rise at least 0.4% month-over-month? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 41% | 0.0 pts | $13.3 | 45 | 34 | open |
| Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? | Manifold | Politics | 25% | 0.0 pts | $10 | 53 | 39 | open |
| Will @AidanFitzzz finally write his great american novel by EOY2031 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 45% | 0.0 pts | $10 | 44 | 33 | open |
| Will June in Boston 2026 be one of the top 3 warmest Junes ever? | Manifold | Geopolitics | 55% | 0.0 pts | $10 | 44 | 33 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 59% | +7.5 pts | $7 | 21 | 0 | open |
| Will Trump go a day in June without insulting someone? | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 52% | 0.0 pts | $7 | 43 | 32 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $5 | 32 | 0 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in November 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 49% | 0.0 pts | $5 | 26 | 0 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in November 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 35% | 0.0 pts | $3 | 19 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 89% | 0.0 pts | $2 | 19 | 0 | open |
| Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in November 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 22% | 0.0 pts | $1 | 25 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 91% | 0.0 pts | $1 | 18 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 90% | 0.0 pts | $1 | 18 | 0 | open |
| Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in July 2026? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 31% | 0.0 pts | $1 | 19 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 5, 2026 at 2pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 20 | 0 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 42 | 16 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 83% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 16 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 6% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 14 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 31% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 14 | 0 | open |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 93% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 17 | 0 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 41 | 16 | open |
| Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House? | Kalshi | Politics | 8% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 15 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 11% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 18 | 0 | open |
| Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 49% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 28 | 0 | open |
| Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029? | Kalshi | Geopolitics | 41% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 29 | 4 | open |
| Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House? | Kalshi | Politics | 16% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 18 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 7% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 12 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 26% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 15 | 0 | open |
| Feature movie about the Bricks and Minifigs/Reckless Ben dispute announced by EoY 2027 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 29% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 45 | 19 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 7% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 15 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 2% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 29 | 7 | open |
| Who will win the next presidential election? | Kalshi | Politics | 0% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 42 | 16 | open |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2028 meeting? | Kalshi | Macro / Fed | 64% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 16 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Gold price above 5,100.00 in June 2026 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 18% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 31 | 0 | open |
| Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030? | Kalshi | AI / Tech | 52% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 27 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Ethereum price at Jun 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | Kalshi | Crypto | 1% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 30 | 0 | open |
| Silver price above 80.000 in June 2026 | Manifold | Macro / Fed | 50% | 0.0 pts | $0 | 41 | 16 | open |