Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 51% $744.2K 91 76 Confirmed move Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 49% $1.4M 92 79 Confirmed move Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 50% $64.3K 80 64 Confirmed move Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Polymarket Macro / Fed 4% $130.5K 85 72 Confirmed move Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 5% $78K 82 72 Confirmed move 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026? Manifold Macro / Fed 60% Ṁ711.5 57 10 Likely noise Will the S&P 500 close above 7,710 on Friday? Manifold Macro / Fed 50% Ṁ1.3K 58 1 Likely noise Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033? Manifold Macro / Fed 99% Ṁ158.6 52 6 Likely noise Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket Macro / Fed 72% $254.7K 83 76 Confirmed move Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Polymarket Macro / Fed 93% $220.4K 88 82 Confirmed move Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 0% $5.5M 99 100 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 53% $255.1K 66 24 Developing Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 0% $2M 95 97 Developing Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Polymarket Macro / Fed 1% $573.4K 93 94 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 48% $1.1M 70 29 Developing Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Polymarket Macro / Fed 2% $61.3K 83 84 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 76% $165 25 0 Likely noise Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 53% $17.9K 59 7 Likely noise Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 52% $22 22 0 Likely noise Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? Polymarket Macro / Fed 14% $28.8K 76 56 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 87% $7.5K 48 0 Likely noise Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 61% $1 19 0 Likely noise Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 64% $8.1K 48 0 Likely noise Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Polymarket Macro / Fed 2% $21.5K 77 61 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 23% $20.9K 50 0 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 48% $23 19 0 Likely noise Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 85% $4.9K 51 6 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $5.2K 51 9 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 27% $1.8K 51 21 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 55% $3 24 0 Likely noise Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 83% $3 21 0 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 16% $1 13 0 Likely noise Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 1% $344.2K 67 42 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 50% $3.9K 52 25 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 21% $145 36 0 Developing Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st? Manifold Macro / Fed 30% Ṁ119.5 53 44 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 9% $4.3K 53 16 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 54% $749.1 48 12 Developing Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $83 on September 10, 2026? Manifold Macro / Fed 93% Ṁ100 57 38 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 1% $66.5K 62 38 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $27.3K 62 38 Developing Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 82% $73 23 0 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 4% $11.5K 57 35 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 6% $1.5K 46 12 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 18% $13 23 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 76% $1 18 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $5.5K 54 33 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 94% $2.6K 48 15 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $1.7K 45 23 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 30% $1 16 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 100% $5.6K 52 31 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 5% $2.4K 48 27 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 42% $537.3 43 22 Developing How high will unemployment get before 2027? Kalshi Macro / Fed 18% $165.9 38 17 Developing Will the closing price of silver exceed $65 at the end of September, 2026 based on the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance Manifold Macro / Fed 47% Ṁ12.3 45 34 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 69% $363.9 45 27 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 99% $108 33 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 83% $9 21 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 96% $205 42 24 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 3% $81 44 15 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 68% $10 33 14 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in November 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 61% $26.5 22 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 34% $15 22 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 61% $14.8 18 0 Developing How high will unemployment get before 2027? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $2 41 24 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 100% $778.5 45 12 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 1% $385 42 14 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $234 44 11 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 16% $10 27 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 83% $16 24 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 75% $4 15 0 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $467.9 40 8 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 2% $259 40 8 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 8% $8 34 19 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 62% $116 35 3 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 80% $9 21 0 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 9% $3 32 17 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 94% $2 16 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 96% $90 35 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 88% $1 14 0 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 57% $9.1 32 2 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 82% $3 14 0 Developing How high will unemployment get before 2027? Kalshi Macro / Fed 6% $2.1 28 0 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 100% $33 33 3 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 81% $3 17 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in August 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 99% $43 30 0 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 9% $3 31 2 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 9% $3 30 1 Developing Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 9% $3 31 2 Developing Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? Kalshi Macro / Fed 1% $1.9 30 1 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 6% $82 26 0 Developing Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 43% $6 21 0 Developing Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in September 2026? Kalshi Macro / Fed 13% $3.8 9 0 Developing