Cross-venue
Where the venues disagree
The same question, priced independently on Polymarket and Kalshi. Each pair below was human-audited as the same underlying event. When two real-money markets disagree by more than 4 points, at least one of them is wrong — a gap is a caveat on the number, not a trade. Independent agreement, meanwhile, is one of the strongest credibility signals a probability can have.
No audited cross-venue pairs have both sides live right now. Pairs appear here as soon as the same question is open on both venues.
Venue gaps reflect differing resolution criteria, fees, liquidity, and settlement risk as much as differing opinions — they are shown as a credibility signal, never as a tradable spread. Read how pairs are audited on the methodology page.