Loading dashboard…

Coverage

A candid account of what ProbCast tracks — and what it doesn't. ProbCast prioritizes markets relevant to macro, politics, crypto, technology, AI, and geopolitics. Some sports-heavy or low-signal markets are excluded from default views. The numbers below are read live from the current market set, not hand-curated.

Venue status

Live — durable history174 active / 200 tracked

Reading live markets and time-series history from durable storage.

Markets by venue

Kalshi coverage is a curated list of series — markets relevant to macro, politics, crypto, technology, AI, and geopolitics — not the full exchange. New series are added deliberately rather than ingested wholesale, so a Kalshi market you expect may simply be outside the curated set.

Kalshi66 active / 92 tracked
Polymarket56 active / 56 tracked
Manifold52 active / 52 tracked

Markets by category

Categories are inferred from each market's text, so a market sits in exactly one bucket. “Active” counts only markets with real volume or liquidity.

Macro / Fed83 active / 93 tracked
Politics46 active / 51 tracked
Crypto31 active / 39 tracked
Geopolitics13 active / 15 tracked
AI / Tech1 active / 2 tracked

Excluded sports-heavy series

Sports-heavy and low-signal markets are excluded from default views by a heuristic title filter (isSportsMarket). It matches match-style fixtures, player stat props, multi-leg parlays, and per-game point/run lines. Because it is heuristic, it can occasionally over- or under-exclude; it is tuned to keep the default surface focused on durable, macro-relevant probability.

Examples the filter screens out of default views include single-game match results, player point/run/strikeout props, multi-leg parlays, and per-game over/under lines. These markets stay out of movers and featured rails so the default surface keeps a clear, macro-relevant signal.

Data freshness

Last successful fetch under a minute ago. When a fresh fetch fails or returns empty, ProbCast falls back to the last successful (stale-but-real) snapshot rather than blanking the page — so a number on screen is always real data, even if it is a few minutes old.

Known coverage gaps

ProbCast does not claim complete coverage of any venue. The following limits are known and intentional:

Kalshi is a curated series list, not the full exchange — markets outside the curated set are not tracked.
Sports-heavy and low-signal markets are excluded from default views by a heuristic filter, which can occasionally over- or under-exclude.
New or just-listed markets with no volume or liquidity stay searchable but are kept out of movers and other featured views until they show real activity.
Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed; a probability shown here can lag the venue.
Coverage skews toward durable, macro-relevant questions; short-lived or hyper-local markets may be absent.

Read-only intelligence

Coverage counts describe what we observe, not a recommendation to take any position. ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.