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Tracked markets, scored for trust

TrackingPolymarketKalshiManifold

Browse every market we track. Each card shows live odds, liquidity, and a trust score so you know which prices to believe. This is a curated slice (the most-traded open markets on each venue plus markets readers search for), not every market on Polymarket, Kalshi or Manifold. What's covered · How scores work

Polymarket · 24h volume · 168 live tracked markets

$10.3M

Volume traded per 10-min interval

170 markets

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Moved down 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

19.5%

-4.0 pts
53

Trust

Mixed

Movement

68

Liquidity

91

Deep liquidityTight spread
Past deadline

Inspect moveVol $747.8K · Liq $587.9K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Moved up 3.4 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

80.1%

+3.4 pts
53

Trust

Mixed

Movement

71

Liquidity

92

Deep liquidityTight spread
Past deadlineMoving fast

Inspect moveVol $669.1K · Liq $582.1K · Ends Oct 4, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

85.5%

+1.0 pts
95

Trust

High

Movement

20

Liquidity

90

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $627.9K · Liq $590.9K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

27.5%

0.0 pts
94

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

91

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $532.7K · Liq $3.1M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Moved up 3.2 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

94.8%

+3.2 pts
76

Trust

Medium

Movement

34

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $465.9K · Liq $114.3K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

27.5%

-1.0 pts
91

Trust

High

Movement

20

Liquidity

89

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $421.5K · Liq $684.8K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

13.5%

-1.0 pts
98

Trust

High

Movement

9

Liquidity

89

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $353.9K · Liq $693.6K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

91.5%

0.0 pts
93

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

90

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $253.9K · Liq $3.7M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.4%

0.0 pts
100

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

90

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $242.5K · Liq $1.4M · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

8.5%

-2.0 pts
77

Trust

Medium

Movement

36

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $208.7K · Liq $68.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

81.5%

+3.0 pts
83

Trust

High

Movement

33

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $197.2K · Liq $90.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

11.5%

-1.0 pts
82

Trust

High

Movement

31

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $185K · Liq $620.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Moved down 3.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

5.0%

-3.5 pts
76

Trust

Medium

Movement

33

Liquidity

84

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $178.1K · Liq $165.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

0.0 pts
94

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

91

Deep liquidity

Inspect moveVol $172.3K · Liq $1.5M · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
85

Trust

High

Movement

7

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $157.6K · Liq $52.8K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.5%

+1.0 pts
85

Trust

High

Movement

9

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $157.4K · Liq $129.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Moved down 3.8 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

7.0%

-3.8 pts
49

Trust

Mixed

Movement

71

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soonMoving fast

Inspect moveVol $155K · Liq $180.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.4%

0.0 pts
93

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

90

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $150.7K · Liq $1.8M · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.7%

0.0 pts
93

Trust

High

Movement

1

Liquidity

90

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $150K · Liq $1.2M · Ends Nov 7, 2028

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.7%

0.0 pts
90

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

86

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $149.1K · Liq $719.9K · Ends Nov 6, 2028

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

35.5%

-1.0 pts
86

Trust

High

Movement

20

Liquidity

88

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $147.6K · Liq $3.8M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

14.5%

-1.0 pts
79

Trust

Medium

Movement

36

Liquidity

86

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $122.4K · Liq $406.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

63.5%

0.0 pts
88

Trust

High

Movement

13

Liquidity

88

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $121K · Liq $1.9M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.2%

+0.1 pts
91

Trust

High

Movement

1

Liquidity

88

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $115K · Liq $450.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

0.0 pts
92

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

89

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $101.6K · Liq $1.8M · Ends Nov 7, 2028

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Moved up 0.8 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

3.7%

+0.8 pts
83

Trust

High

Movement

21

Liquidity

84

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $94.9K · Liq $122.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

64.5%

+3.0 pts
79

Trust

Medium

Movement

33

Liquidity

84

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $94.7K · Liq $457.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

Moved up 5.1 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

98.6%

+5.1 pts
63

Trust

Medium

Movement

47

Liquidity

82

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $94.4K · Liq $64.3K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.5%

+2.0 pts
82

Trust

High

Movement

16

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $94.3K · Liq $87K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

PolymarketAI / TechDeveloping

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

62.5%

+0.5 pts
50

Trust

Mixed

Movement

11

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $92.9K · Liq $8.8K · Ends Jan 4, 2027

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

4.2%

-0.4 pts
90

Trust

High

Movement

5

Liquidity

88

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $92.4K · Liq $548.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

63.5%

+1.0 pts
85

Trust

High

Movement

20

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $91.6K · Liq $3.9M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

6.6%

-0.5 pts
75

Trust

Medium

Movement

12

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $89.2K · Liq $161.1K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

11.7%

0.0 pts
89

Trust

High

Movement

1

Liquidity

85

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $87.8K · Liq $280.4K · Ends Apr 18, 2027

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.0%

-0.1 pts
88

Trust

High

Movement

1

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $87.6K · Liq $145.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

63.5%

+4.0 pts
76

Trust

Medium

Movement

39

Liquidity

82

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $85.7K · Liq $212.1K · Ends Nov 28, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

68.5%

+1.0 pts
67

Trust

Medium

Movement

35

Liquidity

82

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $81.3K · Liq $259.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Moved up 12.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

36.5%

+12.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

81

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soonMoving fast

Inspect moveVol $80.8K · Liq $144.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
91

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $80.4K · Liq $3.1M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

86.5%

+1.0 pts
74

Trust

Medium

Movement

44

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $74.5K · Liq $102.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketOtherLikely noise

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?

Moved down 51.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

14.0%

-51.0 pts
11

Trust

Low

Movement

100

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soonMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $73.8K · Liq $8K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Moved down 4.4 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

10.7%

-4.4 pts
49

Trust

Mixed

Movement

64

Liquidity

80

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $71.5K · Liq $77.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?

Moved up 1.6 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

5.1%

+1.6 pts
79

Trust

Medium

Movement

26

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $70.7K · Liq $99.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Moved up 9.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

72.0%

+9.5 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

74

Liquidity

78

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soonMoving fast

Inspect moveVol $69.4K · Liq $135.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Trump out as President before 2027?

Moved up 0.8 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

4.7%

+0.8 pts
87

Trust

High

Movement

11

Liquidity

86

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $68.3K · Liq $353.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Moved down 4.6 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

36.3%

-4.6 pts
70

Trust

Medium

Movement

52

Liquidity

80

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $66.5K · Liq $150.8K · Ends Nov 28, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

5.8%

-0.5 pts
84

Trust

High

Movement

9

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $65.7K · Liq $256.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

4.5%

0.0 pts
90

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

85

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $64.5K · Liq $445.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

35.5%

-3.0 pts
78

Trust

Medium

Movement

33

Liquidity

83

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $64.4K · Liq $412.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketAI / TechDeveloping

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.5%

-1.0 pts
83

Trust

High

Movement

20

Liquidity

84

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $63.4K · Liq $624.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2027

PolymarketPoliticsConfirmed move

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Moved down 8.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

37.5%

-8.5 pts
55

Trust

Mixed

Movement

69

Liquidity

80

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $62.8K · Liq $144.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketAI / TechDeveloping

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

24.0%

+0.5 pts
81

Trust

High

Movement

11

Liquidity

78

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $62.6K · Liq $123.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2029

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.8%

-0.3 pts
76

Trust

Medium

Movement

5

Liquidity

82

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $62.5K · Liq $138.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketOtherLikely noise

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?

Moved up 50.7 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

85.6%

+50.7 pts
10

Trust

Low

Movement

100

Liquidity

71

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soonMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $60.1K · Liq $7.7K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.7%

+0.1 pts
89

Trust

High

Movement

2

Liquidity

85

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $60.1K · Liq $562.3K · Ends Nov 7, 2028

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?

Moved down 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

34.0%

-1.5 pts
63

Trust

Medium

Movement

65

Liquidity

75

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $59.1K · Liq $30.1K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
91

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $56.7K · Liq $4.2M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsLikely noise

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?

Moved down 3.4 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

3.6%

-3.4 pts
34

Trust

Low

Movement

71

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Resolving soonMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $55.7K · Liq $134.2K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketOtherDeveloping

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Moved down 0.6 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

2.0%

-0.6 pts
82

Trust

High

Movement

15

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $55.5K · Liq $109.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

-0.2 pts
85

Trust

High

Movement

2

Liquidity

80

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $54.9K · Liq $95.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.3%

-0.2 pts
90

Trust

High

Movement

2

Liquidity

87

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $54.9K · Liq $655.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketOtherDeveloping

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

70.0%

-3.0 pts
37

Trust

Low

Movement

33

Liquidity

64

Thin market

Inspect moveVol $54.5K · Liq $1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

27.5%

+0.5 pts
42

Trust

Mixed

Movement

25

Liquidity

68

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $54K · Liq $3.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.7%

0.0 pts
87

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $53.8K · Liq $127.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

71.5%

-0.5 pts
81

Trust

High

Movement

17

Liquidity

80

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $53K · Liq $267.1K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

25.5%

0.0 pts
87

Trust

High

Movement

0

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $52.7K · Liq $233.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Moved down 0.9 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

37.0%

-0.9 pts
72

Trust

Medium

Movement

49

Liquidity

81

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $52.4K · Liq $143.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

18.5%

+0.5 pts
46

Trust

Mixed

Movement

67

Liquidity

77

Deep liquidityTight spread
Resolving soon

Inspect moveVol $52K · Liq $39.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsConfirmed move

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

Moved down 2.9 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

11.6%

-2.9 pts
62

Trust

Medium

Movement

48

Liquidity

77

Deep liquidityTight spread

Inspect moveVol $50.6K · Liq $33.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

92.8%

+2.0 pts
43

Trust

Mixed

Movement

39

Liquidity

75

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $49.6K · Liq $43.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

84.5%

+1.5 pts
58

Trust

Mixed

Movement

24

Liquidity

79

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $49.5K · Liq $123.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.9%

-0.2 pts
64

Trust

Medium

Movement

10

Liquidity

82

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $49K · Liq $165.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Moved up 3.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

76.8%

+3.5 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

61

Liquidity

81

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $48.7K · Liq $92.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

5.5%

-1.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

48

Liquidity

81

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $48.6K · Liq $246.1K · Ends Nov 30, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsLikely noise

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

Moved down 8.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

6.5%

-8.0 pts
27

Trust

Low

Movement

64

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin marketBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $46K · Liq $45.6K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsLikely noise

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?

Moved down 19.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

18.0%

-19.5 pts
15

Trust

Low

Movement

92

Liquidity

72

Tight spread
Thin marketMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $45.8K · Liq $10.4K · Ends Mar 31, 2027

PolymarketOtherDeveloping

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.3%

-0.2 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

7

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $45.6K · Liq $19.8K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

27.5%

+4.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

47

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $45.5K · Liq $103.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

9.3%

-1.0 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

28

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $45.2K · Liq $50.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

5.0%

+0.2 pts
66

Trust

Medium

Movement

8

Liquidity

83

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $45.1K · Liq $230.2K · Ends Apr 18, 2027

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.9%

-0.1 pts
70

Trust

Medium

Movement

1

Liquidity

86

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $44.9K · Liq $1M · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Moved up 0.7 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

96.6%

+0.7 pts
64

Trust

Medium

Movement

9

Liquidity

81

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $44.7K · Liq $125K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Iran leadership change by November 30?

Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.5%

+2.0 pts
50

Trust

Mixed

Movement

45

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $44.7K · Liq $42.8K · Ends Nov 30, 2026

PolymarketOtherDeveloping

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

-0.1 pts
47

Trust

Mixed

Movement

2

Liquidity

79

Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $44K · Liq $67.5K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsLikely noise

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Moved down 10.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

65.5%

-10.0 pts
21

Trust

Low

Movement

79

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soonMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $43.4K · Liq $78.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

79.0%

+1.5 pts
57

Trust

Mixed

Movement

29

Liquidity

79

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $42.4K · Liq $259.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketOtherLikely noise

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Moved down 5.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

49.0%

-5.0 pts
0

Trust

Low

Movement

95

Liquidity

58

Thin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $42.3K · Liq $28.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Moved down 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

14.0%

-1.5 pts
39

Trust

Low

Movement

40

Liquidity

70

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $42.1K · Liq $4.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Moved up 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

28.5%

+2.5 pts
31

Trust

Low

Movement

53

Liquidity

79

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $41.6K · Liq $151.5K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Moved down 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

35.5%

-2.5 pts
46

Trust

Mixed

Movement

20

Liquidity

72

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $41K · Liq $32.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

88.5%

+0.5 pts
53

Trust

Mixed

Movement

4

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $40.7K · Liq $94.4K · Ends Oct 24, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Moved down 0.9 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

30.1%

-0.9 pts
62

Trust

Medium

Movement

13

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $40.5K · Liq $273.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketOtherLikely noise

Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Moved up 2.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

48.0%

+2.5 pts
0

Trust

Low

Movement

93

Liquidity

62

Thin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $40.1K · Liq $29.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

27.5%

-1.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

20

Liquidity

81

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $39.5K · Liq $259K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

PolymarketMacro / FedDeveloping

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

96.9%

-0.1 pts
67

Trust

Medium

Movement

8

Liquidity

85

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $38.8K · Liq $615.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

69.5%

0.0 pts
62

Trust

Medium

Movement

13

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $38.8K · Liq $212.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Moved up 4.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

77.0%

+4.5 pts
45

Trust

Mixed

Movement

64

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $38.8K · Liq $179.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

12.5%

+2.5 pts
39

Trust

Low

Movement

53

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $38.3K · Liq $38.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsLikely noise

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Moved up 3.8 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

88.2%

+3.8 pts
27

Trust

Low

Movement

62

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Thin marketBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $38.2K · Liq $43K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.9%

-0.3 pts
64

Trust

Medium

Movement

9

Liquidity

81

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $37.9K · Liq $266.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.7%

-0.2 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

8

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $37.9K · Liq $114.7K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

15.5%

+3.0 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

23

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $37.9K · Liq $138.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

PolymarketCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

4.1%

-0.2 pts
43

Trust

Mixed

Movement

11

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $37.8K · Liq $57K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

Moved down 7.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

21.0%

-7.5 pts
44

Trust

Mixed

Movement

57

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $37.4K · Liq $27.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketGeopoliticsDeveloping

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

94.5%

-1.0 pts
56

Trust

Mixed

Movement

20

Liquidity

74

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $37.3K · Liq $76.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsLikely noise

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Moved down 14.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

62.0%

-14.5 pts
25

Trust

Low

Movement

93

Liquidity

75

Tight spread
Thin marketMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $37K · Liq $44.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

42.0%

-0.5 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

11

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $27.1K · Liq $244.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

58.0%

-0.5 pts
60

Trust

Medium

Movement

11

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $27K · Liq $186K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

30.5%

0.0 pts
66

Trust

Medium

Movement

0

Liquidity

80

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $25.4K · Liq $311.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

71.0%

-0.5 pts
57

Trust

Mixed

Movement

22

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $20.3K · Liq $240.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

74.5%

+1.0 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

20

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $19.9K · Liq $177.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

28.5%

-1.0 pts
63

Trust

Medium

Movement

9

Liquidity

79

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $19.8K · Liq $276.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

63.5%

+1.0 pts
63

Trust

Medium

Movement

9

Liquidity

79

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $17.3K · Liq $176.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

64.0%

+0.5 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

11

Liquidity

75

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $15.2K · Liq $135.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

36.5%

0.0 pts
60

Trust

Medium

Movement

13

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $11.9K · Liq $190.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

61.5%

-1.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

9

Liquidity

77

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $11.3K · Liq $175.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

87.5%

0.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

1

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $9.8K · Liq $76.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

81.0%

-2.5 pts
51

Trust

Mixed

Movement

35

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $9.3K · Liq $109.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

36.5%

-1.0 pts
62

Trust

Medium

Movement

8

Liquidity

78

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $8.9K · Liq $247.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

18.5%

+1.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

36

Liquidity

76

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $8.1K · Liq $144K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

90.5%

0.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

0

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $7.2K · Liq $77.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

89.5%

+1.0 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

20

Liquidity

72

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $6.5K · Liq $78.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

86.5%

0.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

0

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $5.2K · Liq $73.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

12.5%

0.0 pts
62

Trust

Medium

Movement

0

Liquidity

74

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $5.1K · Liq $120.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

9.5%

0.0 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

0

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $3.6K · Liq $119.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

11.0%

-0.5 pts
56

Trust

Mixed

Movement

11

Liquidity

71

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $3.2K · Liq $139.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.8%

-0.2 pts
61

Trust

Medium

Movement

1

Liquidity

73

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $3K · Liq $70.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

38.5%

+1.0 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

9

Liquidity

74

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.6K · Liq $222.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

91.5%

0.0 pts
58

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

69

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.5K · Liq $104.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

97.0%

0.0 pts
58

Trust

Mixed

Movement

2

Liquidity

69

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.4K · Liq $47.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

94.8%

-1.0 pts
55

Trust

Mixed

Movement

17

Liquidity

71

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.3K · Liq $90.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.9%

0.0 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

3

Liquidity

71

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.3K · Liq $64.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

96.0%

0.0 pts
58

Trust

Mixed

Movement

4

Liquidity

70

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2.2K · Liq $52.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

95.2%

+0.4 pts
57

Trust

Mixed

Movement

6

Liquidity

70

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $1.5K · Liq $51.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.8 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

4.7%

-0.8 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

15

Liquidity

69

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $1.5K · Liq $56.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

0.0 pts
58

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

68

Thin market

Inspect moveVol $1K · Liq $43.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

13.5%

0.0 pts
59

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

70

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $982.9 · Liq $74.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

92.3%

-0.3 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

12

Liquidity

68

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $746 · Liq $73.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

96.1%

+0.5 pts
53

Trust

Mixed

Movement

13

Liquidity

67

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $477.3 · Liq $29.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

96.6%

+0.4 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

10

Liquidity

67

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $468.4 · Liq $68.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

7.5%

0.0 pts
56

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

65

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $274.1 · Liq $60.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.6%

-0.1 pts
54

Trust

Mixed

Movement

6

Liquidity

66

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $240.8 · Liq $69K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.1%

0.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

4

Liquidity

61

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $175 · Liq $43.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

97.3%

+0.4 pts
51

Trust

Mixed

Movement

4

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $122 · Liq $26.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

4.1%

-0.3 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

8

Liquidity

64

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $76.6 · Liq $50K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

7.8%

-0.4 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

13

Liquidity

65

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $72 · Liq $116.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.0%

+0.1 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

1

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $60 · Liq $52.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.3%

-0.1 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

5

Liquidity

57

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $35.7 · Liq $46.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.8%

-0.1 pts
49

Trust

Mixed

Movement

1

Liquidity

56

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $25.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.2%

0.0 pts
52

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $51.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

97.5%

0.0 pts
49

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

55

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $26.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.6%

-0.1 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

1

Liquidity

55

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $40.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 0.7 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

97.6%

+0.7 pts
41

Trust

Mixed

Movement

15

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $26.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

97.4%

+0.5 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

9

Liquidity

58

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $42.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.3%

-0.1 pts
49

Trust

Mixed

Movement

2

Liquidity

56

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $30.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Moved down 0.7 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

2.6%

-0.7 pts
44

Trust

Mixed

Movement

16

Liquidity

56

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $5 · Liq $52.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.1%

0.0 pts
48

Trust

Mixed

Movement

0

Liquidity

54

Tight spread
Thin market

Inspect moveVol $2 · Liq $58.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
30

Trust

Low

Movement

1

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $56K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.1%

+0.2 pts
29

Trust

Low

Movement

7

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $45.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.2%

0.0 pts
31

Trust

Low

Movement

0

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $42K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.7%

0.0 pts
29

Trust

Low

Movement

0

Liquidity

49

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $56.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

1.6%

+0.5 pts
31

Trust

Low

Movement

4

Liquidity

53

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $49.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.1%

0.0 pts
29

Trust

Low

Movement

0

Liquidity

49

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $31.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.5%

-0.2 pts
29

Trust

Low

Movement

5

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $32.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.3%

-0.1 pts
28

Trust

Low

Movement

3

Liquidity

48

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $51.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

0.0 pts
31

Trust

Low

Movement

0

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $48K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

92.5%

0.0 pts
29

Trust

Low

Movement

0

Liquidity

49

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $54.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

97.9%

-0.2 pts
31

Trust

Low

Movement

2

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $35.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.3%

0.0 pts
30

Trust

Low

Movement

4

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $49.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

PolymarketPoliticsDeveloping

Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.9%

-0.2 pts
28

Trust

Low

Movement

3

Liquidity

48

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $40K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

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Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

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