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Hot Markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?52%▲40.0Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?100%▲86.1Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%▼20.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?51%▼21.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%▲8.0Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?86%▲13.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼8.0Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 202698%▲29.1Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%▲8.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?65%▼2.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?83%▲1.5Fed rate hike in 2026?72%▲8.5Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?55%▼1.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?19%▼32.2🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?45%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?20%▼12.0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?52%▲40.0Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?100%▲86.1Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%▼20.5Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?51%▼21.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%▲8.0Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?86%▲13.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼8.0Openai Astra publically available before September 7th 202698%▲29.1Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%▲8.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?65%▼2.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?83%▲1.5Fed rate hike in 2026?72%▲8.5Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?55%▼1.0Will the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a España be Roglic or Pogacar?19%▼32.2🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?45%▲3.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?20%▼12.0

Directory

Every market, scored for trust

Browse the full universe of markets we track. Each card shows live odds, liquidity, and a trust score so you know which prices to believe.

Top open markets by 24h volume

MarketVenueYesOdds ReliabilityUpdated
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Polymarket0.4%Stable8m ago
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Polymarket14.5%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Polymarket0.1%Stable8m ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Polymarket48.5%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago

Kalshi · 24h volume · 116 live tracked markets

$2M

Volume traded per 10-min interval

120 markets

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Moved down 7.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

46.5%

-7.0 pts
28

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

55

Liquidity

70

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.1M · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
42

ProbCast Trust

Watch Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

67

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $351.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Moved up 8.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

52.5%

+8.0 pts
27

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

51

Liquidity

67

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $270.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
38

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

62

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $65.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
38

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

62

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $27.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Moved up 9.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

52.5%

+9.0 pts
8

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

61

Liquidity

59

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $18.1K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved up 3.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

24.0%

+3.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

78

Liquidity

44

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedResolving soonMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $15.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.5%

0.0 pts
35

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

57

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $13.9K · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

4.5%

-1.0 pts
12

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

15

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $11.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.3%

0.0 pts
37

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

1

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $10.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved up 7.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

63.5%

+7.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

62

Liquidity

48

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedResolving soonBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $8.3K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

62.5%

+1.5 pts
27

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

29

Liquidity

58

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $7.8K · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

28.5%

-2.0 pts
29

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

22

Liquidity

58

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $7.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved up 3.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

85.0%

+3.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

32

Liquidity

43

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $7.5K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiCryptoLikely noise

Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Moved down 25.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

3.0%

-25.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

100

Liquidity

47

Limited dataThin marketPast deadlineMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $6.9K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 4, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

11.5%

0.0 pts
36

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

59

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $6.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
37

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $5.9K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

99.5%

0.0 pts
31

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $5.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Moved up 0.7 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

9.8%

+0.7 pts
34

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

9

Liquidity

60

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $5.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026?

Moved down 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

85.5%

-2.5 pts
7

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

42

Liquidity

50

Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $5.5K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

21.5%

0.0 pts
36

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

58

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $5.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

2.0%

+0.5 pts
17

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

11

Liquidity

50

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $5.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.2%

-0.1 pts
35

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

58

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $5K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.2%

0.0 pts
15

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

50

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $4.7K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
34

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

55

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $4.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

49.5%

+1.0 pts
25

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

20

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $3.9K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.9%

+0.1 pts
35

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

4

Liquidity

59

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $3.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

1.5%

+1.0 pts
29

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

9

Liquidity

53

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $2.6K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

5.0%

-0.5 pts
25

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

11

Liquidity

47

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $2.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

94.0%

-1.0 pts
15

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

15

Liquidity

49

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $2.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
35

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

57

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $2.2K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

26.5%

-1.0 pts
25

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

20

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.8K · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.1%

0.0 pts
16

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $1.8K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

2.0%

+0.5 pts
7

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

11

Liquidity

43

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $1.7K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in August 2026?

Moved up 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

6.5%

+2.5 pts
11

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

25

Liquidity

48

Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $1.5K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

4.2%

0.0 pts
33

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

54

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

11.5%

0.0 pts
34

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

56

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.4K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Moved down 4.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

17.0%

-4.5 pts
12

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

59

Liquidity

50

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.3K · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in August 2026?

Moved down 4.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.5%

-4.5 pts
11

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

33

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $1.3K · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.3%

+0.2 pts
33

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

55

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.3K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.4%

0.0 pts
33

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

54

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $1.1K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.1%

0.0 pts
16

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $1.1K · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

66.5%

-0.5 pts
24

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

25

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $927 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in August 2026?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

96.0%

-0.5 pts
17

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

4

Liquidity

48

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $882 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the President be impeached before Mar 1, 2027?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

20.0%

+0.5 pts
23

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

25

Liquidity

50

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $871.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Mar 1, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

99.5%

0.0 pts
11

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

44

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $778.5 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
32

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

53

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $756.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

54.0%

-1.0 pts
10

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

29

Liquidity

48

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $749.1 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

40.5%

-1.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

51

Liquidity

42

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $742.3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.6%

+0.1 pts
32

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

54

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $720.6 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.6%

-0.2 pts
31

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

52

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $631.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.1%

-0.4 pts
28

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

10

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $552.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.9%

0.0 pts
13

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

47

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $500 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
8

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

40

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $467.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $129,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

7.5%

0.0 pts
9

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

7

Liquidity

45

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $458 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?

Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

96.5%

+1.0 pts
22

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

20

Liquidity

47

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $417 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

11.5%

0.0 pts
31

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

51

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $396 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in August 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.0%

0.0 pts
14

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

41

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $385 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

68.5%

0.0 pts
11

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

44

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $363.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in September 2026?

Moved down 4.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

17.0%

-4.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

59

Liquidity

29

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $279 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
7

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

39

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $259 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.5%

-0.1 pts
12

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

1

Liquidity

46

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $254.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

1.5%

0.0 pts
9

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

42

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $234 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

How high will unemployment get before 2027?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

17.5%

-1.0 pts
1

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

15

Liquidity

37

Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $165.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in September 2026?

Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

76.0%

+4.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

71

Liquidity

24

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $165 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
11

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

44

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $155 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiCryptoLikely noise

Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Moved up 70.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

97.0%

+70.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

100

Liquidity

38

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedPast deadlineMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $147.4 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 4, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Moved up 3.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

21.0%

+3.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

48

Liquidity

36

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $145 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 27, 2027

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

3.5%

-1.0 pts
22

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

15

Liquidity

45

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $144.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?

Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

62.5%

+1.5 pts
16

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

24

Liquidity

40

Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $116 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in August 2026?

Moved up 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

98.5%

+2.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

20

Liquidity

33

Limited dataThin marketStale priceResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $108 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in September 2026?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

6.5%

+0.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

11

Liquidity

25

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $82 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiGeopoliticsDeveloping

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

31.6%

0.0 pts
2

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

32

Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $82 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in September 2026?

Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

81.5%

-2.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

35

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $73 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Andrew Oldham become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

Moved down 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

18.5%

-1.5 pts
2

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

10

Liquidity

36

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $69.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in August 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.0%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

39

Liquidity

36

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $61 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Steven Menashi become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.0%

0.0 pts
2

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

32

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $50 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in August 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

98.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

30

Limited dataThin marketStale priceResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $43 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiCryptoLikely noise

Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Moved down 6.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

1.5%

-6.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

98

Liquidity

33

Limited dataThin marketPast deadlineMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $41 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 4, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Conservative win the next U.K. election?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

24.0%

+0.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

4

Liquidity

25

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $37 · Liq $0 · Ends Aug 31, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

99.5%

0.0 pts
3

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

33

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $33 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in November 2026?

Moved up 21.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

60.5%

+21.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

83

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $26.5 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 10, 2026

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

2.5%

-1.0 pts
20

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

23

Liquidity

46

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $25.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?

Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

45.0%

+2.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

70

Liquidity

20

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $23 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?

Moved up 32.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

58.0%

+32.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

100

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $22 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 10, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in August 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

3.5%

0.0 pts
6

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

22

Liquidity

40

Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $22 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

82.0%

-2.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

39

Liquidity

24

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $20 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in August 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

99.5%

0.0 pts
14

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

41

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketResolving soon

Inspect moveVol $18.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 11, 2026

KalshiGeopoliticsDeveloping

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

47.7%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

28

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $18 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2034

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026?

Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

34.5%

+3.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

36

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $15 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 10, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 3.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

61.0%

-3.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

33

Liquidity

17

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $14.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Reform win the next U.K. election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

32.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

26

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $13.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Aug 31, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026?

Moved down 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

82.0%

-2.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

46

Liquidity

21

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $12 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.3%

0.0 pts
7

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

39

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?

Moved up 3.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

83.5%

+3.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

29

Liquidity

29

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2031

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

70.0%

+0.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

27

Liquidity

31

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $10 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

57.0%

0.0 pts
1

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

31

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $9.1 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 27, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

74.5%

-6.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

93

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $9 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?

Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

8.0%

+0.5 pts
18

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

11

Liquidity

38

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $8 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 28, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

42.0%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

32

Liquidity

22

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $6 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Who will win the next presidential election?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.1%

0.0 pts
7

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

38

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $5 · Liq $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 5.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

69.5%

-5.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

96

Liquidity

21

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $4 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiGeopoliticsDeveloping

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

17.5%

0.0 pts
2

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

32

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $3.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in September 2026?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

12.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

9

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $3.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

76.0%

-6.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

74

Liquidity

21

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

81.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

42

Liquidity

21

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

29

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
1

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

30

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

55.0%

-6.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

51

Liquidity

23

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedStale price

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
1

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

30

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 2.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

79.5%

-2.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

44

Liquidity

20

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

8.5%

0.0 pts
2

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

31

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $3 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

How high will unemployment get before 2027?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

5.5%

0.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

27

Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $2.1 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

How high will unemployment get before 2027?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

2.1%

0.0 pts
23

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

40

Tight spread
Limited dataThin market

Inspect moveVol $2 · Liq $0 · Ends Jan 8, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedLikely noise

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

88.0%

-0.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

75

Liquidity

19

Limited dataThin marketLoosely pricedMoving fastBig move, weak backing

Inspect moveVol $2 · Liq $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

0.5%

0.0 pts
1

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

0

Liquidity

30

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketStale price

Inspect moveVol $1.9 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 16, 2026

KalshiPoliticsDeveloping

Will Labour win the next U.K. election?

Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

38.0%

+1.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

18

Liquidity

29

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $1.8 · Liq $0 · Ends Aug 31, 2029

KalshiGeopoliticsDeveloping

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.

54.8%

+0.1 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

2

Liquidity

25

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $1.7 · Liq $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2039

KalshiCryptoDeveloping

Ethereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

0.5%

-0.5 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

25

Liquidity

26

Tight spread
Limited dataThin marketPast deadline

Inspect moveVol $1 · Liq $0 · Ends Sep 4, 2026

KalshiMacro / FedDeveloping

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2026?

Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.

76.0%

+4.0 pts
0

ProbCast Trust

Low Trust

Movement

44

Liquidity

18

Limited dataThin marketLoosely priced

Inspect moveVol $1 · Liq $0 · Ends Oct 14, 2026

ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

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0.1%
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8m ago
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Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Polymarket52.0%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Polymarket0.1%Stable8m ago
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Polymarket93.0%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Polymarket14.5%Stable8m ago
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Polymarket8.6%Developing Move — Medium reliability8m ago
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket1.7%Stable8m ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Polymarket2.1%Stable8m ago
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket85.5%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket13.2%Stable8m ago
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Polymarket0.1%Stable8m ago
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Polymarket3.6%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Polymarket1.0%Stable8m ago
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Polymarket0.1%Stable8m ago
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Polymarket69.0%Reliable Move — High reliability8m ago
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket0.1%Stable8m ago
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

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