Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
38.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
High
Movement
0
Liquidity
90
Inspect moveVol $261.4K · Liq $1.1M · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Browse every market we track. Each card shows live odds, liquidity, and a trust score so you know which prices to believe. This is a curated slice (the most-traded open markets on each venue plus markets readers search for), not every market on Polymarket, Kalshi or Manifold. What's covered · How scores work
Volume traded per 10-min interval
150 markets
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
38.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
High
Movement
0
Liquidity
90
Inspect moveVol $261.4K · Liq $1.1M · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 0.6 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
10.0%
-0.6 ptsTrust
High
Movement
16
Liquidity
91
Inspect moveVol $111.6K · Liq $4M · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
61.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
High
Movement
0
Liquidity
88
Inspect moveVol $100.4K · Liq $949K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
37.5%
-1.0 ptsTrust
High
Movement
20
Liquidity
86
Inspect moveVol $58.7K · Liq $620.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
62.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
High
Movement
0
Liquidity
86
Inspect moveVol $52.1K · Liq $671.7K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
68.0%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
7
Liquidity
80
Inspect moveVol $37.6K · Liq $121.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
38.5%
-3.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
42
Liquidity
84
Inspect moveVol $37.5K · Liq $435.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
31.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
82
Inspect moveVol $34.6K · Liq $181.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
90.1%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
87
Inspect moveVol $31.5K · Liq $943.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
61.5%
+3.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
33
Liquidity
83
Inspect moveVol $27.1K · Liq $500.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
85.5%
-1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
20
Liquidity
82
Inspect moveVol $26.5K · Liq $202.3K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
37.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
20
Liquidity
81
Inspect moveVol $24.8K · Liq $185.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
36.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
44
Liquidity
83
Inspect moveVol $24.8K · Liq $425.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
86.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
15
Liquidity
80
Inspect moveVol $22K · Liq $202K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
57.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
9
Liquidity
82
Inspect moveVol $20K · Liq $360.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
14.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
7
Liquidity
79
Inspect moveVol $14.7K · Liq $128.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 5.2 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
52.0%
+5.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
46
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $12.7K · Liq $13.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
82.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $11.9K · Liq $139.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
17.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
80
Inspect moveVol $11.7K · Liq $227.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
51.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
13
Liquidity
79
Inspect moveVol $10.4K · Liq $303.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
64.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
79
Inspect moveVol $7K · Liq $205.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
13.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
9
Liquidity
80
Inspect moveVol $7K · Liq $210.6K · Ends Nov 7, 2028
Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
65.5%
+0.5 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
4
Liquidity
81
Inspect moveVol $6.7K · Liq $435.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
4.5%
-0.4 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
11
Liquidity
79
Inspect moveVol $5.3K · Liq $405.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
13.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
9
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $5.3K · Liq $221.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
11.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
9
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $5K · Liq $76.4K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
25.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $3K · Liq $524.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
95.6%
+0.5 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
8
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $2.7K · Liq $383.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 0.6 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
9.2%
+0.6 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
13
Liquidity
76
Inspect moveVol $2.6K · Liq $98.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
20.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
13
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $2.6K · Liq $172K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
11.5%
-2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
27
Liquidity
73
Inspect moveVol $2.4K · Liq $91K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
68.5%
-2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
27
Liquidity
69
Inspect moveVol $2.3K · Liq $5.7K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
26.5%
-1.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
9
Liquidity
76
Inspect moveVol $2.2K · Liq $333.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
43.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $2K · Liq $408.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 8.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
62.5%
-8.5 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
56
Liquidity
64
Inspect moveVol $1.9K · Liq $1.2K · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
9.6%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
1
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $1.8K · Liq $166.4K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
4.1%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
2
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $1.8K · Liq $667.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
74.5%
+2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
35
Liquidity
68
Inspect moveVol $1.7K · Liq $8.8K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
9.4%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
2
Liquidity
78
Inspect moveVol $1.6K · Liq $191.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
48.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
9
Liquidity
62
Inspect moveVol $1.5K · Liq $3.6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
89.5%
+3.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
59
Liquidity
71
Inspect moveVol $1.5K · Liq $60K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
73.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
20
Liquidity
76
Inspect moveVol $1.3K · Liq $338.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
21.5%
-2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
16
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $1.3K · Liq $8K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Moved down 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
17.0%
-1.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
18
Liquidity
57
Inspect moveVol $1.2K · Liq $5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
81.5%
-1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
33
Liquidity
61
Inspect moveVol $1.2K · Liq $6.3K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
10.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
74
Inspect moveVol $1.2K · Liq $114.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
10.0%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
76
Inspect moveVol $1K · Liq $206K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.8%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
1
Liquidity
77
Inspect moveVol $936.4 · Liq $344.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
22.5%
-2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
16
Liquidity
68
Inspect moveVol $897.8 · Liq $7.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.6%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
1
Liquidity
75
Inspect moveVol $874.3 · Liq $372.6K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.8%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
3
Liquidity
70
Inspect moveVol $603.8 · Liq $146.5K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.4%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
1
Liquidity
75
Inspect moveVol $591.9 · Liq $838.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
10.0%
+0.4 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
10
Liquidity
71
Inspect moveVol $562.4 · Liq $62.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
74.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
74
Inspect moveVol $547.3 · Liq $343.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
47.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
9
Liquidity
57
Inspect moveVol $539.7 · Liq $5K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
80.0%
-6.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
41
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $531.4 · Liq $663.1 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
22.5%
+3.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
65
Liquidity
61
Inspect moveVol $528.4 · Liq $1.3K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved up 6.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
38.5%
+6.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
55
Liquidity
56
Inspect moveVol $516.4 · Liq $5.2K · Ends May 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $438.1 · Liq $62.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Moved up 4.8 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
8.5%
+4.8 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
36
Liquidity
57
Inspect moveVol $412.4 · Liq $1.3K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
90.1%
+0.3 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
9
Liquidity
69
Inspect moveVol $382.6 · Liq $73.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
91.1%
-0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
10
Liquidity
70
Inspect moveVol $341.9 · Liq $97.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
3.7%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
10
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $330.8 · Liq $46.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.6%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
4
Liquidity
72
Inspect moveVol $325.3 · Liq $391.5K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.8%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
71
Inspect moveVol $312.3 · Liq $334.5K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
6.5%
+3.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
42
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $311.9 · Liq $620.6 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.9%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
74
Inspect moveVol $310.4 · Liq $337.8K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.1%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
73
Inspect moveVol $300 · Liq $864.4K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
15.5%
+2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
27
Liquidity
65
Inspect moveVol $290.4 · Liq $53.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Moved up 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
33.5%
+0.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
27
Liquidity
62
Inspect moveVol $290.2 · Liq $8.2K · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
15.5%
-0.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
17
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $270.7 · Liq $888.9 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.4%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
73
Inspect moveVol $260.8 · Liq $637.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
70
Inspect moveVol $257.1 · Liq $90.8K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
89.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
69
Inspect moveVol $250.5 · Liq $148.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
64.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $246.6 · Liq $22.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
5.4%
+0.4 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
10
Liquidity
68
Inspect moveVol $238.2 · Liq $41.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 9.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
28.5%
+9.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
99
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $230.9 · Liq $321.7 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
14.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
60
Inspect moveVol $219 · Liq $3.6K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
95.0%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
19
Liquidity
48
Inspect moveVol $216 · Liq $514.8 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
10.5%
-6.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
41
Liquidity
45
Inspect moveVol $214.5 · Liq $346.6 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
98.5%
+2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
16
Liquidity
55
Inspect moveVol $213.4 · Liq $3.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved down 5.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
87.5%
-5.5 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
43
Liquidity
44
Inspect moveVol $210.3 · Liq $598.1 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
92.3%
-0.3 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
5
Liquidity
67
Inspect moveVol $204.9 · Liq $136.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
8.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
9
Liquidity
64
Inspect moveVol $204.4 · Liq $12.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
4.2%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
1
Liquidity
67
Inspect moveVol $202.5 · Liq $41.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 10.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
63.5%
-10.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
84
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $193.7 · Liq $318.8 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
71.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
39
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $191.6 · Liq $59.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.6%
-0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
71
Inspect moveVol $157.2 · Liq $353K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
25.5%
-1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
20
Liquidity
63
Inspect moveVol $150.8 · Liq $5.9K · Ends Mar 1, 2027
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
20.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
9
Liquidity
64
Inspect moveVol $138.3 · Liq $23.5K · Ends Jan 31, 2028
Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
6.5%
+4.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
57
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $132.6 · Liq $1.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
4.0%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
1
Liquidity
73
Inspect moveVol $127.5 · Liq $341.6K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved up 1.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
2.5%
+1.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
20
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $126 · Liq $1K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
1.9%
-3.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
25
Liquidity
58
Inspect moveVol $120.4 · Liq $2.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Moved up 5.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
10.5%
+5.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
36
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $117.6 · Liq $781.3 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
4.0%
-0.3 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
7
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $100.8 · Liq $29.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.7%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
68
Inspect moveVol $100.5 · Liq $200.5K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
94.4%
-0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
65
Inspect moveVol $99.8 · Liq $42.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
97.5%
+2.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
16
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $89.4 · Liq $2.7K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
7
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $86.9 · Liq $932.9 · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.9%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
1
Liquidity
70
Inspect moveVol $86.7 · Liq $503.3K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
96.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
13
Liquidity
56
Inspect moveVol $83.4 · Liq $9.8K · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.5%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
69
Inspect moveVol $81.8 · Liq $309.7K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
13.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
7
Liquidity
57
Inspect moveVol $78.4 · Liq $3K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
18.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $76.6 · Liq $1.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
6.7%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
4
Liquidity
59
Inspect moveVol $74.9 · Liq $2.9K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
12.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
22
Liquidity
46
Inspect moveVol $74.8 · Liq $4.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Moved up 6.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
17.5%
+6.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
68
Liquidity
52
Inspect moveVol $62.5 · Liq $751.8 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
95.8%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
70
Inspect moveVol $56.9 · Liq $523.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
8.8%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
55
Inspect moveVol $56.1 · Liq $2.1K · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
42.0%
-0.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
11
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $55.9 · Liq $5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
3.5%
+0.4 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
6
Liquidity
62
Inspect moveVol $54.2 · Liq $26K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
61
Inspect moveVol $53.8 · Liq $17K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
71
Inspect moveVol $52.4 · Liq $3M · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
86.0%
+1.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
18
Liquidity
55
Inspect moveVol $51 · Liq $904.1 · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
56.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $47.6 · Liq $4K · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
66
Inspect moveVol $43.8 · Liq $287.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
98.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $39.3 · Liq $1.8K · Ends Nov 10, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.5%
0.0 ptsTrust
Medium
Movement
0
Liquidity
68
Inspect moveVol $38.8 · Liq $3.3M · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.7%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
67
Inspect moveVol $37.8 · Liq $137.7K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Moved up 1.1 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
99.2%
+1.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
14
Liquidity
57
Inspect moveVol $23.5 · Liq $42.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
96.4%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
1
Liquidity
59
Inspect moveVol $19.5 · Liq $48.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
96.9%
-0.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
4
Liquidity
56
Inspect moveVol $16.4 · Liq $35K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
94.7%
-0.3 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
7
Liquidity
61
Inspect moveVol $15.2 · Liq $53.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
96.5%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
58
Inspect moveVol $10.7 · Liq $28.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.9%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
56
Inspect moveVol $8.8 · Liq $37.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
99.0%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $6.9 · Liq $37.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
95.7%
-0.3 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
7
Liquidity
60
Inspect moveVol $4.6 · Liq $41.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
98.4%
-0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
3
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $2.9 · Liq $43.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
97.5%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
1
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $2.7 · Liq $48.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
98.4%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
54
Inspect moveVol $2.3 · Liq $43.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
97.5%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
4
Liquidity
49
Inspect moveVol $2 · Liq $36.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
97.9%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
1
Liquidity
52
Inspect moveVol $1.7 · Liq $40.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved down 0.5 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
97.9%
-0.5 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
8
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $1.7 · Liq $41.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
99.0%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $1.4 · Liq $38.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
98.4%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
53
Inspect moveVol $1.2 · Liq $50.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.7%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
2
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $0.1 · Liq $61.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
97.2%
0.0 ptsTrust
Mixed
Movement
0
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $0.1 · Liq $41.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.2%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
0
Liquidity
52
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $38.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.4%
-0.3 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
4
Liquidity
49
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $37.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.3%
-0.2 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
3
Liquidity
45
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $20.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.7%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
0
Liquidity
52
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $43.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.1%
+0.1 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
1
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $67.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.7%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
1
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $39.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Moved up 0.6 pts over 24h — worth watching; not confirmed either way.
2.4%
+0.6 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
9
Liquidity
49
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $41.6K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.9%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
0
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $43.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
0.1%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
0
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $41.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.9%
+0.2 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
2
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $40.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
1.1%
-0.1 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
1
Liquidity
50
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $74.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Little 24h change — nothing confirmed to watch yet.
2.2%
0.0 ptsTrust
Low
Movement
0
Liquidity
51
Inspect moveVol $0 · Liq $39.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
| Market | Venue | Yes | Odds Reliability | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 0.1% | Stable | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 84.5% | Stable | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 0.4% | Stable | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
| Polymarket |
| 14.5% |
| Stable |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Polymarket | 92.1% | Reliable Move — High reliability |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Polymarket | 79.5% | Reliable Move — High reliability |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 0.4% | Stable |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | 76.8% | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Polymarket | 23.5% | Awaiting resolution |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Polymarket | 28.5% | Reliable Move — High reliability |
| Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? | Kalshi | 38.5% | Stable |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 2.5% | Stable |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | Polymarket | 78.5% | Reliable Move — High reliability |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 36.8% | Developing Move — High reliability |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Polymarket | 96.4% | Stable |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Polymarket | 0.9% | Stable |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Polymarket | 2.1% | Stable |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Polymarket | 2.9% | Stable |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 10.5% | Reliable Move — High reliability |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Polymarket | 8.5% | Stable |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 4.8% | Stable |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Polymarket | 12.5% | Stable |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 9.5% | Stable |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Polymarket | 7.6% | Stable |
| Will Republicans win the House in 2026? | Kalshi | 10.0% | Stable |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Polymarket | 91.5% | Stable |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Polymarket | 85.5% | Developing Move — High reliability |
| Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? | Kalshi | 61.5% | Stable |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | Polymarket | 16.5% | Stable |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Polymarket | 14.8% | Stable |
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.