Top Movers

Every tracked market ranked by how much its probability moved, adjusted for liquidity so thin-market noise doesn't dominate. Use the filters to isolate trustworthy signals.

Showing 7 markets, ranked by Meaningful Move Score. Change column shows the 24h window.


China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Polymarket	Geopolitics	100%	+83.0 pts	$684.9K	87	61	Real move
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Polymarket	Geopolitics	27%	-4.0 pts	$785K	91	73	Real move
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Polymarket	Macro / Fed	93%	-1.4 pts	$897K	93	88	Real move
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Polymarket	Macro / Fed	6%	+1.6 pts	$667.2K	92	87	Worth watching
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Polymarket	Geopolitics	2%	+0.7 pts	$913.9K	92	92	Worth watching
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Polymarket	Macro / Fed	0%	+0.1 pts	$951.1K	92	93	Worth watching
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Polymarket	Politics	0%	-0.1 pts	$651.4K	95	96	Worth watching

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