Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- October 6, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will my this market post cross 1M Mana mark? (THIS ONE) The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 9, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 24, 2026 at 8:34 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- October 6, 2026 at 6:16 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 15d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume of this specific Manifold market reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 Mana (Ṁ) on or before the market's scheduled close. This market will resolve to NO if the total volume remains strictly below 1,000,000 Mana at the time of market close.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume of this specific Manifold market reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 Mana (Ṁ) on or before the market's scheduled close. This market will resolve to NO if the total volume remains strictly below 1,000,000 Mana at the time of market close. The "volume" metric displayed on this market's main page on Manifold Markets will serve as the official source of truth. Background The creator, Sk Wasim (@WasimSk), has launched several volume-tracking markets of this type on Manifold, including previous iterations for 50k and 100k Mana targets. Total volume represents the total amount of Mana traded by users on the contract. Reaching 1M Mana (Ṁ) is a major milestone on the platform, generally requiring high trader engagement, multiple limit orders, or substantial position sizes. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.