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Daily archive · times in ET · all days
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 7.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 1.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 2.1 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 6.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 17.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 0.9 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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