Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Final market price
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- x.com
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 4, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 18, 2026 at 7:03 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 45d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: x.com
Market data
24h volume
$185.1K
Liquidity
$112.2K
Total volume
$324.8K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- Resolves
- Aug 4, 2026
- Resolution
- x.com