Will this market attract at least 5 unique traders before it closes?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 8:16 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will this market attract at least 5 unique traders before it closes? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 7, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 2, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 8:16 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 87d ago
What this market actually measures
A meta-market about itself: if 5 or more different people place at least one bet here before it closes, this resolves YES. Betting on this literally moves you toward the outcome — come be one of the five.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
A meta-market about itself: if 5 or more different people place at least one bet here before it closes, this resolves YES. Betting on this literally moves you toward the outcome — come be one of the five. Resolves by checking the unique-trader count shown on this page when the market closes.