Prediction Markets Daily Read — Thursday, July 30, 2026 | ProbCast

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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?67%▼9.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?71%▲38.1 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?23%▼16.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?8%▼8.0 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?91%▲5.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?98%▲3.2 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?93%▲5.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?2%▼7.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0 Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?56%▲6.3 Will communists arrest me for speech violations within the next year?25%▼9.7 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?59%▲27.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?3%▼5.9 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?8%▼3.0

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39%▲3.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?67%▼9.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼4.0 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?71%▲38.1 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?23%▼16.5 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?8%▼8.0 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?91%▲5.5 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?98%▲3.2 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?93%▲5.0 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?2%▼7.5 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?27%▲3.0 Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?56%▲6.3 Will communists arrest me for speech violations within the next year?25%▼9.7 Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend?59%▲27.0 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?3%▼5.9 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?8%▼3.0

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Prediction Markets Daily Read — Thursday, July 30, 2026 | ProbCast