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Daily archive · times in ET · all days
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Moved down 5.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 0.8 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 36.3 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 25.8 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 27.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Fed leaves its target rate unchanged at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting
gap 0.5 ptsProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.