LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?0%47.4LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?100%20.0Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?36%11.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?87%55.4Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?65%12.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55%8.4LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?100%14.5LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?0%12.4Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44%9.0LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?100%6.5Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?65%11.0Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?76%55.8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?63%5.5Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?19%3.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?84%1.0Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?17%4.0
PolymarketCryptoUpdated 46d ago

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Final price
0.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.5%.

Final market price
0.5%
Event deadline
July 26, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
data.chain.link

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET The final Polymarket price was 0.5%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.5%.

Market data as of
July 26, 2026 at 11:15 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 10, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
July 26, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
46d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution source: data.chain.link

Market data

24h volume

$111.7K

Liquidity

$37.6K

Total volume

$111.7K

Category
Crypto
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.5%
Best ask
1.0%
Resolves
Jul 26, 2026
Resolution
data.chain.link

Related markets