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Monday, September 7, 2026
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Meaningful moves
Moved up 15.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 1.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
The noise to ignore
Moved up 23.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 11.9 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 12.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Settled (58 in 24h)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?Polymarketno
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?Polymarketno
- Ethereum price at Sep 7, 2026 at 12am EDT?Kalshino
- 9984 reaches 6000 by Sep 10?Manifoldyes
- Will my brother at least glance at his laptop sometime tomorrow?Manifoldyes
- The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagManifoldyes
- Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 6pm EDT?Kalshino
- Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Polymarketno
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