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Sunday, September 6, 2026
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Meaningful moves
Moved up 13.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Little 24h change — the price looks settled and reliable.
Little 24h change — the price looks settled and reliable.
Moved up 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
The noise to ignore
Moved down 26.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 16.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 13.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Settled (56 in 24h)
- 9984 reaches 6000 by Sep 10?Manifoldyes
- Will my brother at least glance at his laptop sometime tomorrow?Manifoldyes
- The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagManifoldyes
- Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 6pm EDT?Kalshino
- Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Polymarketno
- Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Kalshino
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Polymarketno
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Polymarketno
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.