The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.1%.
- Final market price
- 99.1%
- Event deadline
- September 6, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag The final Manifold price was 99.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.1%.
- Market data as of
- September 9, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 6, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 41d ago
What this market actually measures
This market resolves YES if The Greens (Bündnis 90 - Die Grünen) receive at least 5.00% of the valid Zweitstimmen (secondary votes) in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, thereby clearing the 5% threshold for representation in the Landtag. It resolves NO if The Greens receive less than 5.00% and therefore fail to clear the 5% threshold.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market resolves YES if The Greens (Bündnis 90 - Die Grünen) receive at least 5.00% of the valid Zweitstimmen (secondary votes) in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election, thereby clearing the 5% threshold for representation in the Landtag. It resolves NO if The Greens receive less than 5.00% and therefore fail to clear the 5% threshold. Resolution will be based on the official final election result.