Daily archive · times in ET · all days
Monday, August 24, 2026
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Meaningful moves
Moved up 10.3 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 5.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 8.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
The noise to ignore
Moved up 41.1 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 16.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 27.3 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Settled (36 in 24h)
- Ethereum price at Aug 24, 2026 at 1am EDT?Kalshino
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?Polymarketno
- Ethereum price at Aug 24, 2026 at 12am EDT?Kalshino
- Will my company make its first sale today?Manifoldno
- Daily CoinflipManifoldno
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.