ProbCast.coOdds Reliability

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Monday, August 24, 2026

The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.

Meaningful moves

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?

Moved up 41.2 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+41.273%Confirmed move
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?

Moved up 26.1 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+26.143%Confirmed move
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?

Moved up 14.6 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+14.666%Confirmed move
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?

Moved up 7.3 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+7.313%Confirmed move
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Moved up 10.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.

+10.080%Confirmed move

The noise to ignore

Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 12am EDT?

Moved up 12.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

+12.534%Likely noise
Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 12am EDT?

Moved down 12.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

-12.53%Likely noise
Ethereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 12am EDT?

Moved up 16.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.

+16.031%Likely noise

Settled (160 in 24h)

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.