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Daily archive · times in ET · all days
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Moved down 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Little 24h change — the price looks settled and reliable.
Moved down 3.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved up 1.5 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Little 24h change — the price looks settled and reliable.
Moved down 34.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 27.5 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved down 28.2 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Fed leaves its target rate unchanged at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting
gap 1.2 ptsProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.
Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.
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