U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Final market price
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 10:48 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 31, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 90d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.