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Monday, August 17, 2026
The frozen end-of-day record of what mattered in prediction markets — as ProbCast classified it at the time. For the live view, see today's read.
Meaningful moves
Moved down 6.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 8.1 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 7.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 4.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
Moved down 2.0 pts over 24h — looks like a real move, backed by trading.
The noise to ignore
Moved up 35.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 32.2 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Moved up 5.0 pts over 24h — looks like thin-market noise, not a real move.
Settled (79 in 24h)
- Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 2am EDT?Kalshino
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 10-16?Polymarketno
- Ethereum price at Aug 17, 2026 at 1am EDT?Kalshino
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?Polymarketno
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?Polymarketno
ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.