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Hot Markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?74%▲63.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?23%▼21.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%▲10.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?34%▲15.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼11.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?88%▲1.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%▼13.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%▼13.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?6%▼11.0Fed rate hike in 2026?72%▲10.0Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?22%▲1.7Did Claude just solve navier stokes??52%▲37.8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?75%▲0.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%▲8.0Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?42%▼23.0Will Levent Alpöge's S⁶ complex-structure paper be posted to arXiv by October 15, 2026?29%▼29.5
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?74%▲63.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?23%▼21.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51%▲10.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?34%▲15.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼11.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?88%▲1.0Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?69%▼13.0Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?49%▼13.0Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?6%▼11.0Fed rate hike in 2026?72%▲10.0Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?22%▲1.7Did Claude just solve navier stokes??52%▲37.8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?75%▲0.0Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?50%▲8.0Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?42%▼23.0Will Levent Alpöge's S⁶ complex-structure paper be posted to arXiv by October 15, 2026?29%▼29.5
Accuracy / Priced 90–100%

Markets priced 90–100%

The individual resolved markets behind this bucket of the calibration curve. “Priced” is what the market showed 24 hours before its deadline — a real forecast, not the settlement price.

200 markets · 195 resolved YES (98%)

  • Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 15, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 9, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will GPT 6 be released by September 15th?Manifold · Sep 4, 2026
    priced 96.2%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026
    priced 99.7%YES✓
  • Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide)Manifold · Sep 3, 2026
    priced 99.3%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?Polymarket · Sep 7, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will OpenAI Astra beat Opus 5 on Artificial AnalysisManifold · Sep 3, 2026
    priced 98.7%NO✗
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?Polymarket · Sep 3, 2026
    priced 99.7%YES✓
  • Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 on the last trading day of August 2026?Manifold · Sep 3, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 2?Polymarket · Sep 2, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?Polymarket · Sep 2, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia be blamed for the Leipzig attack?Manifold · Sep 2, 2026
    priced 97.1%YES✓
  • (FREE MANA???) Will I get demoted to Silver?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 97.5%YES✓
  • Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 2, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will I promote to Masters?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 99.8%YES✓
  • Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 99.3%YES✓
  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?Manifold · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 98.4%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 15, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29?Polymarket · Aug 29, 2026
    priced 99.7%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?Polymarket · Aug 29, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will the S&P 500 close above 7,700 on Friday?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026
    priced 97.2%YES✓
  • Will bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026
    priced 92.1%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026
    priced 98.5%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026
    priced 95.6%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026
    priced 99.8%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 27, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 26, 2026
    priced 97.6%YES✓
  • Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • 📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?Manifold · Aug 26, 2026
    priced 90.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 26?Polymarket · Aug 26, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?Polymarket · Aug 26, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Bitcoin price reaches 80k before EOYManifold · Aug 25, 2026
    priced 96.5%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the 2026 Vuelta a Espana have 21 stages with a winner?Manifold · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 93.0%NO✗
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will anyone other than the creator place a bet on this market before it closes?Manifold · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will The Odyssey (2026) be Christopher Nolan's highest grossing film at the domestic box office?Manifold · Aug 23, 2026
    priced 94.1%YES✓
  • NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22?Polymarket · Aug 22, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin be higher on Saturday?Manifold · Aug 22, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026
    priced 95.5%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026
    priced 99.2%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026
    priced 99.6%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $82 on August 20, 2026?Manifold · Aug 21, 2026
    priced 98.5%YES✓
  • Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Bitcoin price reaches 70k USD before EOYManifold · Aug 20, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?Polymarket · Aug 20, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 19, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026
    priced 98.9%YES✓
  • Will Rodri join Barcelona?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Polymarket · Sep 17, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?Polymarket · Aug 16, 2026
    priced 97.0%YES✓
  • Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office?Manifold · Aug 16, 2026
    priced 97.5%YES✓
  • Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE)Manifold · Aug 16, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026?Manifold · Aug 15, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026
    priced 99.1%YES✓
  • Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026
    priced 98.8%YES✓
  • Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?Manifold · Aug 14, 2026
    priced 98.9%YES✓
  • Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?Manifold · Aug 13, 2026
    priced 98.3%YES✓
  • US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?Manifold · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 12?Polymarket · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 95.5%YES✓
  • Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 96.5%YES✓
  • Will Abdul El Sayed and Francesca Hong both win their primaries?Manifold · Aug 12, 2026
    priced 96.8%NO✗
  • Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?Manifold · Aug 11, 2026
    priced 90.4%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026
    priced 99.7%YES✓
  • [incentive market] I apply for (thing) in next 72 hoursManifold · Aug 11, 2026
    priced 95.7%YES✓
  • Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will there be a codex limit reset on Monday August 10, 2026?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026
    priced 92.1%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 130MManifold · Aug 10, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will TOMB get delayed by more than 30 minutes?Manifold · Aug 9, 2026
    priced 91.0%NO✗
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?Polymarket · Aug 9, 2026
    priced 96.7%YES✓
  • Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging)Manifold · Aug 9, 2026
    priced 96.9%YES✓
  • Free money for Opus 4.6Manifold · Aug 9, 2026
    priced 95.0%YES✓
  • Will Messi arrive argentina today?Manifold · Aug 8, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?Manifold · Aug 8, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin be higher by close on Friday?Manifold · Aug 7, 2026
    priced 98.0%YES✓
  • Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?Polymarket · Aug 7, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Polymarket · Aug 3, 2026
    priced 99.3%YES✓
  • Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 7)?Manifold · Aug 6, 2026
    priced 95.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?Polymarket · Aug 6, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Polymarket · Aug 3, 2026
    priced 97.2%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?Polymarket · Aug 4, 2026
    priced 94.5%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4?Polymarket · Aug 4, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?Polymarket · Aug 4, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • [Kalshi] 21st Century ROAD to Housing law becomes law this year?Manifold · Aug 4, 2026
    priced 97.3%YES✓
  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earn more than $230M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weManifold · Aug 4, 2026
    priced 99.4%YES✓
  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 96.4%YES✓
  • does 1 + 1 = 2Manifold · Aug 3, 2026
    priced 98.6%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Polymarket · Jun 12, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Polymarket · Aug 15, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2028
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 94.3%YES✓
  • Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 29, 2026
    priced 99.1%YES✓
  • GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Polymarket · Jan 1, 2028
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 97.0%YES✓
  • Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Polymarket · Dec 30, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will my sister be at sleepaway camp on August 1?Manifold · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 95.0%YES✓
  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Polymarket · Jul 29, 2026
    priced 97.0%YES✓
  • Will I stay in Masters this season?Manifold · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 91.2%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Polymarket · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Polymarket · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Polymarket · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Polymarket · Aug 1, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 99.7%YES✓
  • Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will there be at least one more peace talk by the US and Iran before August 1?Manifold · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 91.1%NO✗
  • Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will Angie Velasco win in La Velada against Alondrissa?Manifold · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 31, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Polymarket · Jul 30, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Polymarket · Jul 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Polymarket · Jul 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 30?Polymarket · Jul 30, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Jul 29, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Jul 29, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Jul 29, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Jul 29, 2026
    priced 99.5%YES✓
  • Aella's Magic Button poll: which side gets more votes? [SHORT FUSE]Manifold · Jul 28, 2026
    priced 97.9%YES✓
  • Will "The Odyssey" reach $200 million domestic box office by August 2, 2026?Manifold · Jul 28, 2026
    priced 97.0%YES✓
  • Opus 5 available on my $20 Claude sub before Sunday?Manifold · Jul 24, 2026
    priced 93.6%YES✓
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24?Polymarket · Jul 24, 2026
    priced 99.9%YES✓
  • portugal win croaia?Manifold · Jul 22, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will trump say something about Canadian wildfires smoke today?Manifold · Jul 20, 2026
    priced 99.0%YES✓
  • Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Polymarket · Jul 17, 2026
    priced 100.0%YES✓
  • Will the North Korean delegation attend IMO 2026?Manifold · Jul 17, 2026
    priced 90.6%YES✓

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