Markets priced 90–100%
The individual resolved markets behind this bucket of the calibration curve. “Priced” is what the market showed 24 hours before its deadline — a real forecast, not the settlement price.
Showing the 200 most recent graded markets in this range · 195 resolved YES (98%) of those shown; the calibration curve counts every graded market in the range.
- Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 97.3%YES✓
- Will "Street Fighter" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openiManifold · Oct 20, 2026priced 95.8%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 95.7%YES✓
- Will Steam set a new all-time concurrent user record in October 2026?Manifold · Oct 19, 2026priced 90.0%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 97.2%YES✓
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 97.9%YES✓
- Will the Chicago Bears have a win percentage at or above 0.500 when Caleb Williams returns from his injury?Manifold · Oct 18, 2026priced 93.9%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 94.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Polymarket · Oct 17, 2026priced 95.8%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?Polymarket · Oct 17, 2026priced 94.2%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?Polymarket · Oct 17, 2026priced 99.3%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 97.5%YES✓
- Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 93.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 99.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 98.2%YES✓
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Polymarket · Oct 15, 2026priced 99.6%YES✓
- Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 15th 2026Manifold · Oct 15, 2026priced 91.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?Polymarket · Oct 14, 2026priced 97.6%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 98.0%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 95.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 97.5%YES✓
- Will the White House name a new Press Secretary by November 15, 2026?Manifold · Oct 13, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 97.0%YES✓
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 97.0%YES✓
- Will the US or China officially announce a Busan trade truce extension past Nov 10, 2026, by November 6, 2026?Manifold · Oct 12, 2026priced 98.3%YES✓
- Will SpaceXAI rename itself to SpaceXSI (or another "SI" name) by end of 2026?Manifold · Oct 12, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% or lower before Dec 1st 2026Manifold · Oct 12, 2026priced 95.2%YES✓
- Will OpenAI release a fully autonomous AI agent product before July 2027?Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 97.2%YES✓
- Will Alex Radu find a sponsor for Disposition (or any other YSWS) by the end of November 2026?Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 96.6%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?Polymarket · Oct 10, 2026priced 98.6%YES✓
- Will Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 98.0%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Polymarket · Oct 7, 2026priced 98.0%YES✓
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?Manifold · Oct 8, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?Polymarket · Oct 8, 2026priced 96.4%YES✓
- Will a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?Manifold · Oct 7, 2026priced 93.4%YES✓
- Will Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King)Manifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 98.1%YES✓
- Will the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?Manifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 96.6%YES✓
- Will GPT6 release before GTA6?Manifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 97.9%YES✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.3000 or more on October 5 2026?Manifold · Oct 5, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.3000 or more on October 5 2026?Manifold · Oct 5, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- Will Tesla's Q3 2026 vehicle deliveries match or beat its Q2 2026 total of 480,126?Manifold · Oct 3, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 91.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 98.2%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 90.5%YES✓
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 99.4%YES✓
- Will this MARKET have UNDER 100 TRADERS by the end of September? Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 93.7%YES✓
- Will I beat phjork before the end of this month(current hardest shiver)Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 95.6%YES✓
- Will my YouTube Channel have 30 subscribers before the end of September 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 90.7%NO✗
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 97.8%YES✓
- Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 55 or higher on September 30, 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 97.4%YES✓
- Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 98.6%YES✓
- Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 98.3%YES✓
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 95.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 97.9%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?Polymarket · Sep 29, 2026priced 97.8%YES✓
- Will Zohran Mamdani appear on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next week?Manifold · Sep 29, 2026priced 95.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?Polymarket · Sep 28, 2026priced 96.2%YES✓
- Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?Manifold · Sep 28, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?Polymarket · Sep 27, 2026priced 97.6%YES✓
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Polymarket · Sep 25, 2026priced 98.3%YES✓
- Will i reach 3,900 net worth in manifold in september?Manifold · Sep 26, 2026priced 91.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 26?Polymarket · Sep 26, 2026priced 94.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?Polymarket · Sep 25, 2026priced 97.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?Polymarket · Sep 25, 2026priced 99.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?Polymarket · Sep 25, 2026priced 91.8%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?Polymarket · Sep 24, 2026priced 98.0%YES✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.4500 or more on September 24 2026?Manifold · Sep 24, 2026priced 98.4%YES✓
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Polymarket · Sep 23, 2026priced 98.5%YES✓
- Will the address for math.eg.rego.re have a balance of more than $25 before Sep 23?Manifold · Sep 23, 2026priced 93.6%YES✓
- Both Opus and Sol released this week?Manifold · Sep 22, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Polymarket · Sep 22, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?Polymarket · Sep 22, 2026priced 96.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?Polymarket · Sep 22, 2026priced 99.2%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?Polymarket · Sep 21, 2026priced 97.2%YES✓
- Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 18, 2026? (corrected close time)Manifold · Sep 18, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Is Union Alpha a router?Manifold · Sep 17, 2026priced 94.2%YES✓
- 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?Manifold · Sep 16, 2026priced 90.0%YES✓
- Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Sep 16, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Sep 16, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Sep 16, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Kalshi · Sep 16, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?Polymarket · Sep 15, 2026priced 99.8%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?Polymarket · Sep 15, 2026priced 99.8%YES✓
- Will the US House Censure any member by the end of 2026?Manifold · Sep 14, 2026priced 97.8%YES✓
- If Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?Manifold · Sep 14, 2026priced 98.3%YES✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on September 14 2026?Manifold · Sep 14, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on September 14 2026?Manifold · Sep 14, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the 2026 Vuelta a Espana have 20 stages with a winner?Manifold · Sep 13, 2026priced 97.2%YES✓
- Will this market get any comments before it closes?Manifold · Sep 12, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $83 on September 10, 2026?Manifold · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 96.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 98.0%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 90.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in August 2026?Kalshi · Sep 11, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will Canada's new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods be in force by September 8, 2026?Manifold · Sep 9, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?Manifold · Sep 8, 2026priced 96.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?Polymarket · Sep 8, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher a month from now?Manifold · Sep 7, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will OpenAI make Astra publicly available by October 15, 2026?Manifold · Sep 7, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- OpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?Manifold · Sep 7, 2026priced 98.9%YES✓
- Will my brother at least glance at his laptop sometime tomorrow?Manifold · Sep 6, 2026priced 97.4%YES✓
- The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt LandtagManifold · Sep 6, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?Polymarket · Sep 5, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will a bot win the Metaculus Summer CupManifold · Sep 5, 2026priced 95.0%YES✓
- Will the S&P 500 close above 7,710 on Friday?Manifold · Sep 4, 2026priced 90.3%YES✓
- Will GPT 6 be released by September 15th?Manifold · Sep 4, 2026priced 98.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide)Manifold · Sep 3, 2026priced 99.3%YES✓
- Bitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of SeptemberManifold · Sep 3, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will OpenAI Astra beat Opus 5 on Artificial AnalysisManifold · Sep 3, 2026priced 98.7%NO✗
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?Polymarket · Sep 3, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 on the last trading day of August 2026?Manifold · Sep 3, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 2?Polymarket · Sep 2, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?Polymarket · Sep 2, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will Russia be blamed for the Leipzig attack?Manifold · Sep 2, 2026priced 97.1%YES✓
- (FREE MANA???) Will I get demoted to Silver?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026priced 97.5%YES✓
- Will I promote to Masters?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 99.8%YES✓
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?Manifold · Aug 31, 2026priced 98.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29?Polymarket · Aug 29, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?Polymarket · Aug 29, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will the S&P 500 close above 7,700 on Friday?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026priced 97.2%YES✓
- Will bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026priced 92.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 98.5%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026priced 99.8%YES✓
- Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026priced 95.6%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 27, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 26, 2026priced 97.6%YES✓
- 📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?Manifold · Aug 26, 2026priced 90.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 26?Polymarket · Aug 26, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?Polymarket · Aug 26, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Bitcoin price reaches 80k before EOYManifold · Aug 25, 2026priced 96.5%YES✓
- Will the 2026 Vuelta a Espana have 21 stages with a winner?Manifold · Aug 24, 2026priced 93.0%NO✗
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will anyone other than the creator place a bet on this market before it closes?Manifold · Aug 24, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will The Odyssey (2026) be Christopher Nolan's highest grossing film at the domestic box office?Manifold · Aug 23, 2026priced 94.1%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22?Polymarket · Aug 22, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher on Saturday?Manifold · Aug 22, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 99.2%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 99.6%YES✓
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 95.5%YES✓
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $82 on August 20, 2026?Manifold · Aug 21, 2026priced 98.5%YES✓
- Bitcoin price reaches 70k USD before EOYManifold · Aug 20, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20?Polymarket · Aug 20, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 19, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 98.9%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?Polymarket · Aug 16, 2026priced 97.0%YES✓
- Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office?Manifold · Aug 16, 2026priced 97.5%YES✓
- Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE)Manifold · Aug 16, 2026priced 99.9%YES✓
- Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026?Manifold · Aug 15, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 99.1%YES✓
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 98.8%YES✓
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?Manifold · Aug 14, 2026priced 98.9%YES✓
- Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026?Manifold · Aug 13, 2026priced 98.3%YES✓
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026?Manifold · Aug 12, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 12?Polymarket · Aug 12, 2026priced 100.0%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 95.5%YES✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.4% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 99.5%YES✓
- Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 96.5%YES✓
- Will Abdul El Sayed and Francesca Hong both win their primaries?Manifold · Aug 12, 2026priced 96.8%NO✗
- Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?Manifold · Aug 11, 2026priced 90.4%YES✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 99.7%YES✓
- [incentive market] I apply for (thing) in next 72 hoursManifold · Aug 11, 2026priced 95.7%YES✓
- Will there be a codex limit reset on Monday August 10, 2026?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 92.1%YES✓
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 130MManifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
- Will TOMB get delayed by more than 30 minutes?Manifold · Aug 9, 2026priced 91.0%NO✗
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?Polymarket · Aug 9, 2026priced 96.7%YES✓
- Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging)Manifold · Aug 9, 2026priced 96.9%YES✓
- Free money for Opus 4.6Manifold · Aug 9, 2026priced 95.0%YES✓
- Will Messi arrive argentina today?Manifold · Aug 8, 2026priced 99.0%YES✓
Shows up to the 200 most recent graded outcomes in this range. ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.