Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?0%14.1Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?18%19.0Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?81%17.5Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?0%12.4The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag99%33.3Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?12%4.5Israel closes its airspace by September 30?73%0.5Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?24%4.5Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56%1.0will i finish 18.03 homework before sept 8 9:00am68%17.7Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? 15%5.6Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?40%0.2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?88%3.5Chances I will get a 1560+ on the September SAT?38%21.6Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?14%3.1Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?29%1.6
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 4m ago

Arsenal FC leading at halftime?

Last traded probability
0.1%
-15.4 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
0.1%
Event deadline
September 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
Venue status
open

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Arsenal FC leading at halftime? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 6, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 6, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 6, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
4m ago

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 6, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 6, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.

Market data

24h volume

$75.7K

Liquidity

$163.6K

Total volume

$75.7K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
7-day range
0.1% – 47.0%
Resolves
Sep 6, 2026

Related markets