Event · resolves around 2026-09-30

CPI — macro release · Sep 2026

14 related contracts across Kalshi · $312.3 traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	22%	+2.5 pts	$103	26	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	27%	-4.5 pts	$52	22	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	25%	-9.5 pts	$30	23	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.6% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	30%	-20.0 pts	$29	21	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	13%	+2.0 pts	$20	12	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	11%	0.0 pts	$16	21	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	14%	-1.0 pts	$12.1	14	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	50%	+1.5 pts	$11	23	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	70%	+4.5 pts	$10	20	Likely noise
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	13%	+2.5 pts	$10	11	Developing
Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	41%	+1.0 pts	$10	17	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	26%	-11.0 pts	$4.3	16	Likely noise
Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	79%	-1.0 pts	$4	10	Developing
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?	Kalshi	Macro / Fed	42%	+2.5 pts	$1	20	Likely noise

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.