Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?
Source: Kalshi price history
This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 86.0%.
- Final market price
- 86.0%
- Event deadline
- October 14, 2026 at 8:29 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
- Resolution source
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending …
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026? The final Kalshi price was 86.0%. This market has resolved. The final Kalshi price was 86.0%.
- Market data as of
- October 14, 2026 at 9:02 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Kalshi
- Event deadline
- October 14, 2026 at 8:29 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 7d ago
What this market actually measures
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution source: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending …