Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?0%14.4Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?93%14.4Israel closes its airspace by September 30?74%8.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?83%0.5Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?82%4.0Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? 10%10.2Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?14%4.0Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41%1.0The Greens receive at least 5% and enter the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag99%33.3Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?70%0.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?26%1.0Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?28%16.0Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57%2.02026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House52%2.0Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?69%2.5Ethereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?85%32.0
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 13m ago

Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-09-06?

Last traded probability
100.0%
+1.2 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
100.0%
Event deadline
September 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
tff.org

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-09-06? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 6, 2026 at 4:23 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 6, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
13m ago

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 6, 2026 If Trabzonspor wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 6, 2026 If Trabzonspor wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: tff.org

Market data

24h volume

$110.6K

Liquidity

$174.7K

Total volume

$111.7K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
98.8% – 100.0%
Resolves
Sep 6, 2026
Resolution
tff.org

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