Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 5, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- June 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 3m ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market data
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Total volume
$139.4K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1 pts
- Best bid
- 99.9%
- Best ask
- 100.0%
- Resolves
- Jun 12, 2026