Do you like 18% odds?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.0%.
- Final market price
- 18.0%
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Do you like 18% odds? The final Manifold price was 18.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 18.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 13, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 11, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
What this market actually measures
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 18 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.