Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $83 on September 10, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.5%.
- Final market price
- 99.5%
- Event deadline
- September 10, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $83 on September 10, 2026? The final Manifold price was 99.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.5%.
- Market data as of
- September 13, 2026 at 6:42 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 10, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
What this market actually measures
This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of September 10 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of September 10 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Resolution Details: Primary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO. Secondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price) Data Point: The "Daily" value listed for September 10 Timing: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on September 10 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning). Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day. Strictly more than not equal to