Markets priced 0–10%
The individual resolved markets behind this bucket of the calibration curve. “Priced” is what the market showed 24 hours before its deadline — a real forecast, not the settlement price.
200 markets · 2 resolved YES (1%)
- Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Polymarket · Sep 3, 2026priced 2.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 4.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Tesla publicly unveil the next generation Roadster on or before August 31, 2026?Manifold · Sep 2, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 4, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on September 1st?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Trump says or posts something deprecating about Dolly Parton within a week of her passingManifold · Sep 1, 2026priced 5.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 8.6%NO✓
- Will I solve an unsolved math problem with AI in August?Manifold · Sep 1, 2026priced 3.4%NO✓
- NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 4.6%NO✓
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 1.3%NO✓
- Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Iran leadership change by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Trump out as President by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 4.7%NO✓
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 2.5%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 1.7%NO✓
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Solana reach $120 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 1.7%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 8.8%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 2.9%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 2.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- 🚢 Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Manifold · Aug 31, 2026priced 9.5%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 3.5%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 1.7%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 1.6%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Polymarket · Sep 15, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Polymarket · Aug 31, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Polymarket · Oct 31, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 5.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 28, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026priced 3.2%NO✓
- Will King Harald resume official duties by September 30, 2026?Manifold · Aug 28, 2026priced 9.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?Polymarket · Aug 27, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will the Nevada Hawk Fire exceed 20,000 acres before reaching 90% containment?Manifold · Aug 27, 2026priced 8.3%NO✓
- Will my company make a sale today?Manifold · Aug 27, 2026priced 2.9%NO✓
- Does Ox Alpha belong to Google?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will my company make a sale today?Manifold · Aug 26, 2026priced 8.8%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 1.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?Polymarket · Aug 24, 2026priced 3.6%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 22, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will SPY close above $776.34 on Friday, August 21, 2026?Manifold · Aug 22, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 25, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will an Atlantic hurricane form on or before August 20, 2026?Manifold · Aug 21, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 3.1%NO✓
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Polymarket · Aug 20, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 19?Polymarket · Aug 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk reach 243 M+ followers on X before 20th August?Manifold · Aug 19, 2026priced 3.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 18, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?Manifold · Aug 19, 2026priced 2.5%YES✗
- Will James Fishback get second in the Florida Republican primary for governor?Manifold · Aug 19, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Polymarket · Sep 1, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz get 60.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 20 Democratic house primary?Manifold · Aug 18, 2026priced 7.8%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 21, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 18, 2026priced 2.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 18, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?Polymarket · Aug 18, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Trump announce or order a new U.S. military strike against Iran before August 18th, 2026?Manifold · Aug 17, 2026priced 4.6%NO✓
- Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) win the 2026 Clacton by-election?Manifold · Aug 17, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 10-16?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 6.5%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?Polymarket · Aug 17, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 18, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will at least 1,000 people irregularly enter Ceuta from Morocco on 15 August 2026?Manifold · Aug 16, 2026priced 4.7%NO✓
- Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 1.8%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 15, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Jose Vega debate Ritchie Torres?Manifold · Aug 15, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from 3:45 PM EDT 8/5/2026?Manifold · Aug 15, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 1.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 9.5%YES✗
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 1.2%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 14?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?Manifold · Aug 14, 2026priced 2.5%NO✓
- Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Polymarket · Jun 30, 2027priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 15, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Polymarket · Dec 31, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13?Polymarket · Aug 13, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 12, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will a 500 megaton explosion happen tommorrow? (Apocalypse Hedging)Manifold · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.2%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?Manifold · Aug 12, 2026priced 1.9%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 14, 2026priced 0.0%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 5.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 1.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in July 2026?Kalshi · Aug 12, 2026priced 6.5%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin be higher 2 days from now (closing soon)Manifold · Aug 12, 2026priced 8.4%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will the winner of the South Carolina Special Republican Primary for Senate recieve at least 50% of the vote?Manifold · Aug 11, 2026priced 5.2%NO✓
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earns more than $170M in domestic gross earnings during their second weekend?Manifold · Aug 11, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 11, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- If Opus 4.6 can pay back its loan, will it?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.9%NO✓
- Will Gemini 3.5 Pro be released on August 10, 1PM EST?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 10, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loanManifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Trump’s Tuesday 8pm ET ultimatum?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.8%NO✓
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150MManifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 2.2%NO✓
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 180MManifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 1.2%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Polymarket · Aug 10, 2026priced 9.5%NO✓
- Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting World Yoyo competition by question close.Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 7.8%NO✓
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday?Manifold · Aug 10, 2026priced 7.2%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Polymarket · Aug 9, 2026priced 5.5%NO✓
Shows up to the 200 most recent graded outcomes in this range. ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.