Markets priced 0–10%
The individual resolved markets behind this bucket of the calibration curve. “Priced” is what the market showed 24 hours before its deadline — a real forecast, not the settlement price.
Showing the 200 most recent graded markets in this range · 4 resolved YES (2%) of those shown; the calibration curve counts every graded market in the range.
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.2%NO✓
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?Polymarket · Oct 20, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Tiger Zhang have a good sleep schedule for the next month?Manifold · Oct 19, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 3.6%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 8.5%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 1.3%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?Polymarket · Oct 19, 2026priced 6.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 18, 2026priced 9.0%NO✓
- Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 18, 2026priced 4.5%NO✓
- Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 18, 2026priced 7.5%NO✓
- Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 18, 2026priced 9.5%YES✗
- Ethereum price at Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 18, 2026priced 5.5%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 18?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 18, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 17, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Ethereum price at Oct 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Kalshi · Oct 17, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?Polymarket · Oct 17, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Fable 5.5 is released by the end of October 16th?Manifold · Oct 17, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?Manifold · Oct 16, 2026priced 5.2%NO✓
- Katie Zacharia (press secretary) lasts longer than a mooch?Manifold · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Vancouver adopt Villages before next election?Manifold · Oct 16, 2026priced 4.1%NO✓
- Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 8.8%YES✗
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 4.2%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 2.5%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 3.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 16?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will 0x7A68AB21211e1338b1b019FFD65f69a0fcA8c6A4 RECEIVE more than 100.00 USDC Base by October 15th 11:59 pm UTCManifold · Oct 16, 2026priced 5.4%NO✓
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 16, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?Manifold · Oct 15, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in September 2026?Kalshi · Oct 14, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026?Manifold · Oct 14, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 2.9%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 1.5%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?Polymarket · Oct 13, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will "The Social Reckoning" earn more than $23M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekendManifold · Oct 13, 2026priced 1.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 3.0%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 2.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.2%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 2.5%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?Polymarket · Oct 12, 2026priced 5.0%NO✓
- Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 12, 2026?Manifold · Oct 11, 2026priced 2.0%NO✓
- Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 3.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 10, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Anthropic release Claude Fable 5.2 or higher on October 9, 2026 (PT)?Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 2.8%NO✓
- Will there be a fourth Korean Nobel Prize winner in 2026? Diaspora counts.Manifold · Oct 10, 2026priced 6.0%NO✓
- Will SPX reach 8,000 this week (by October 9, 2026)?Manifold · Oct 9, 2026priced 4.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 6.5%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 2.5%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?Polymarket · Oct 9, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $99.50 on October 8, 2026?Manifold · Oct 9, 2026priced 3.2%NO✓
- Claude Haiku dying in 3 months?Manifold · Oct 8, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Rust be the most admired *and* most desired language in the 2026 StackOverflow developer survey?Manifold · Oct 7, 2026priced 4.5%NO✓
- 👽 Will scientists announce a credible potential signal from extraterrestrial intelligence before 2027?Manifold · Oct 7, 2026priced 2.4%YES✗
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?Polymarket · Oct 7, 2026priced 2.1%NO✓
- Will a 2026 science Nobel motivation mention AI, machine learning, or neural networks?Manifold · Oct 7, 2026priced 6.4%NO✓
- Is Digger (2026) a musical?Manifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 4.6%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 1.9%YES✗
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 6.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 6, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekendManifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will random.org pick 100,000?Manifold · Oct 6, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.7%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 7.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 3.9%NO✓
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 daysManifold · Oct 5, 2026priced 2.9%NO✓
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 3.5%NO✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.4200 or more on October 5 2026?Manifold · Oct 5, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.3800 or more on October 5 2026?Manifold · Oct 5, 2026priced 8.0%NO✓
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 6.6%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 1.1%NO✓
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Polymarket · Oct 4, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 2.2%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 2.2%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.6%NO✓
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 4.5%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 2.8%NO✓
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?Polymarket · Oct 5, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will Kylian Mbappe score a hattrick in this international window for France?Manifold · Oct 4, 2026priced 6.5%NO✓
- Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?Manifold · Oct 4, 2026priced 6.2%NO✓
- Brazil 2026 Election: Will the U.S. impose new Global Magnitsky sanctions on a Brazilian before the elections?Manifold · Oct 4, 2026priced 3.1%NO✓
- Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Polymarket · Oct 3, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will OBI (Brazilian Olympiad in Informatics) change its date?Manifold · Oct 3, 2026priced 3.4%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?Polymarket · Oct 3, 2026priced 1.5%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3?Polymarket · Oct 3, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Will 0x982aFeaFd6EEB05e767699290D43f86d270aEda7 RECEIVE more than 20.00 USDC Base by October 2nd 11:59 pm UTCManifold · Oct 3, 2026priced 8.7%NO✓
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 1.7%NO✓
- Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st?Manifold · Oct 2, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 1.4%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 8.5%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 2.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2?Polymarket · Oct 2, 2026priced 0.5%NO✓
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]Manifold · Oct 2, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will I get demoted to Bronze in Season 41?Manifold · Oct 2, 2026priced 3.9%NO✓
- Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- US airstrikes Yemen in September?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 3.3%NO✓
- Will Brazilian Youtuber Lito (Aviões e Músicas/Airplanes and Songs) defeat the disgraceful disease of Creutzfeldt-Jakob?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 7.0%NO✓
- Did OpenAI just solve hodge??Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 4.1%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?Polymarket · Oct 1, 2026priced 1.6%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1?Polymarket · Oct 1, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 1?Polymarket · Oct 1, 2026priced 0.3%NO✓
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 1.5%NO✓
- Will Opus 5.5 get nerfed within a week of launch?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 3.5%NO✓
- Current mod loses role by end Sept?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 9.0%NO✓
- Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 9.5%NO✓
- Will I get called "sir" more than "ma'am" over the phone in September?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 1.8%NO✓
- Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 1.0%NO✓
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.9%NO✓
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.4%NO✓
- US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.8%NO✓
- Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 3.0%NO✓
- Will a new Claude Haiku model be released in September 2026?Manifold · Oct 1, 2026priced 3.3%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?Polymarket · Sep 30, 2026priced 0.1%NO✓
Shows up to the 200 most recent graded outcomes in this range. ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice.