Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- September 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- September 14, 2026 at 3:41 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 14, 2026 at 3:52 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 11m ago
What this market actually measures
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data
24h volume
$95.7K
Liquidity
$80.4K
Total volume
$689.5K
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- 7-day range
- 0.1% – 0.1%
- Resolves
- Sep 12, 2026