PolymarketGeopoliticsUpdated 7m ago

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Last traded probability
69.0%
-6.5 pts
past 24h
Price historyPolymarket

Source: Polymarket price history

Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
69.0%
Event deadline
September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Venue status
open

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 69.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
October 26, 2026 at 12:52 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 26, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
7m ago

What this market actually measures

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets