Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Final market price
- 0.0%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 0.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? The final Polymarket price was 0.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 12:04 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 34d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Total volume
$391.5K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.0 pts
- Best bid
- 0.0%
- Best ask
- 0.1%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026