ProbCastOdds Reliability
TodayTop MoversMarketsWhat ChangedAccuracyWatchlist
⌘K
Checking…
Hot Markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?13%▼21.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?45%▼4.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?36%▼0.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?75%▼2.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?21%▲2.0Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?78%▲13.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?28%▲8.5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?16%▲4.5Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?83%▲72.5"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?74%▲31.8Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?0%▼11.4Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?50%▼7.0Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?100%▲14.1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?12%▼12.0Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before 2027?53%▼15.9Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼6.0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?13%▼21.8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?45%▼4.0Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?36%▼0.5US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?75%▼2.0Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?21%▲2.0Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?78%▲13.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?28%▲8.5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?16%▲4.5Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?83%▲72.5"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?74%▲31.8Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?0%▼11.4Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?50%▼7.0Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?100%▲14.1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?12%▼12.0Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before 2027?53%▼15.9Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?49%▼6.0
Home/Macro / Fed/Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-06?
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 11m ago

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-06?

Last traded probability
100.0%
+1.0 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
100.0%
Event deadline
August 6, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET
Venue status
open
Resolution source
leaguescup.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-06? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 100.0%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
August 7, 2026 at 2:15 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
August 7, 2026 at 2:25 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 6, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 6, 2026 If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 6, 2026 If Portland Timbers wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: leaguescup.com

Score breakdown — Movement, Liquidity & Trust

ProbCast Trust Score

48/ 100 · Watch

Mixed support. Interpret with some caution. Main caveat: past deadline.

ProbCast measures how reliable this market probability appears — not what to trade.

Liquidity82

Depth of the order book and volume

Related markets

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 7?

0%YESTrust 68
Polymarket$55.8K 24h

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?

0%YESTrust 46
Polymarket$47.2K 24h

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?

36%YESTrust 26
ProbCast — Odds Reliability

Know whether prediction-market odds can be trusted. ProbCast analyzes liquidity, market activity, spreads, and price movement to help distinguish meaningful repricing from thin-market noise.

Questions? Chat with us on Telegram
TodayTop MoversEventsAll MarketsWhat ChangedVenue DivergencePolymarket vs KalshiMethodologyCoverageMeta's ArenaWatchlistTerms of UsePrivacyCrypto
Data updated
11m ago

Market data

24h volume

$68.3K

Liquidity

$210.2K

Total volume

$69K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
7-day range
99.0% – 100.0%
Resolves
Aug 6, 2026
Resolution
leaguescup.com

Trust breakdown

48/100 · Watch

Mixed support. Interpret with some caution. Main caveat: past deadline.

  • Liquidity anchor+57
  • Price steadiness+24
  • Past deadline-25
  • Limited history-8
Trust score48 / 100
How these scores work →
View on Polymarket

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

Polymarket
$91.6K 24h

On August 7th will Claude Opus 5 be above GPT 5.6 Sol on LLM agent arena?

99%YESTrust 25
ManifoldṀ522.6 24h

Will BARACK OBAMA endorse or congratulate Abdul el Sayed before end of Friday?

37%YESTrust 0
ManifoldṀ66.7 24h

Will Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Trump’s Tuesday 8pm ET ultimatum?

10%YESTrust 7
ManifoldṀ51 24h
Macro / Fed
Politics
AI / Tech
Geopolitics

ProbCast provides prediction-market data and analytics for informational purposes only. Not financial, trading, betting, investment, legal, or tax advice. ProbCast is not a betting platform, exchange, or broker and does not provide buy or sell recommendations. Intended for users 18+; availability of prediction-market activity varies by jurisdiction. Venue data is aggregated from third parties and may be delayed or inaccurate. See our Terms of Use.

Market-implied probabilities can be wrong, illiquid, manipulated, or affected by ambiguous resolution rules.

© 2026 ProbCast · [email protected]