Will BARACK OBAMA endorse or congratulate Abdul el Sayed before end of Friday?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 34.0%.
- Final market price
- 34.0%
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will BARACK OBAMA endorse or congratulate Abdul el Sayed before end of Friday? The final Manifold price was 34.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 34.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 10, 2026 at 7:23 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 71d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves yes if Barack Obama endorses Abdul el Sayed for senate or congrulates him on his primary victory or both. Must be done by Friday 11.59pm et 7 August 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves yes if Barack Obama endorses Abdul el Sayed for senate or congrulates him on his primary victory or both. Must be done by Friday 11.59pm et 7 August 2026.