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PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 45d ago

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Final price
100.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Final market price
100.0%
Event deadline
August 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Venue status
resolved
Resolution source
x.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.

Market data as of
August 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 21, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
August 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
45d ago

What this market actually measures

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: x.com

Market data

24h volume

$130.7K

Liquidity

$126.6K

Total volume

$273.5K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.1 pts
Best bid
99.9%
Best ask
100.0%
Resolves
Aug 7, 2026
Resolution
x.com

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