"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.9%.
- Final market price
- 99.9%
- Event deadline
- September 16, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time? The final Manifold price was 99.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.9%.
- Market data as of
- September 29, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 2, 2026 at 7:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 16, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 33d ago
What this market actually measures
The current record is held by "Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens", with a domestic lifetime gross of $936,662,225. This market resolves YES if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic lifetime gross higher than $936,662,225, and it resolves NO otherwise.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The current record is held by "Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens", with a domestic lifetime gross of $936,662,225. This market resolves YES if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic lifetime gross higher than $936,662,225, and it resolves NO otherwise. Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo Closing market in approximately 2 months and resolving when it is confirmed one way or the other. I may close the market sooner if it looks necessary. Credit to Ziddletwix for market format/idea