Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 100.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 7, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 21, 2026 at 5:24 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market data
24h volume
$90.6K
Liquidity
$0
Total volume
$486.3K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.2 pts
- Best bid
- 99.7%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Resolves
- Sep 1, 2026