Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 0.4%
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- open
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.4%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 11:21 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 18, 2026 at 11:28 PM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 7m ago
What this market actually measures
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.