ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 42d ago
Will Byron Donalds get 50.000% or more of the vote in the Florida Republican Primary for Governor?
Final price
1.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 19, 2026 at 12:33 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Byron Donalds get 50.000% or more of the vote in the Florida Republican Primary for Governor? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 3, 2026 at 12:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 19, 2026 at 12:33 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
2022 Florida gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview]
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
2022 Florida gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview]
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ9.3K
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ16.4K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 1.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 19, 2026