Will James Fishback get second in the Florida Republican primary for governor?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 19, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will James Fishback get second in the Florida Republican primary for governor? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 21, 2026 at 10:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 3, 2026 at 12:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 19, 2026 at 12:34 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if James Fishback gets SECOND in the Florida Republican primary for governor. Another market: https://manifold.markets/Jack1/james-fishback-vote-percent-in-flor?r=SmFjazE
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if James Fishback gets SECOND in the Florida Republican primary for governor. Another market: https://manifold.markets/Jack1/james-fishback-vote-percent-in-flor?r=SmFjazE
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ11.8K
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ12.8K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 1.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 19, 2026