Israel closes its airspace by September 30?70%58.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?28%10.0Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?0%19.4Did Claude just solve navier stokes??29%3.9Iran full airspace closure by September 30?12%3.0Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?18%4.5Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?29%13.3Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?57%2.5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?84%0.5Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51%2.0🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?58%13.9Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?31%11.3Will the 2026 DeathList end with a final score of 9?34%15.1Ethereum price at Sep 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT?15%45.0Will the Strait of Hormuz fully close again in 2026?85%21.2Chances I will get a 1560+ on the September SAT?60%15.5
PolymarketMacro / FedUpdated 2h ago

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-05?

Last traded probability
0.1%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Awaiting resolution

The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Last probability before deadline
0.1%
Event deadline
September 5, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Venue status
closed
Resolution source
bundesliga.com

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-05? The last traded Polymarket probability before the deadline was 0.1%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.

Market data as of
September 5, 2026 at 11:36 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:11 PM ET
Source
Polymarket
Event deadline
September 5, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Market status
Awaiting resolution
Data updated
2h ago

What this market actually measures

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Resolution source: bundesliga.com

Market data

24h volume

$117.8K

Liquidity

$234.1K

Total volume

$118.5K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Polymarket
Open interest
Spread
0.0 pts
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
0.1%
Resolves
Sep 5, 2026
Resolution
bundesliga.com

Related markets