Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Final market price
- 100.0%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 100.0%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 100.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 36d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market data
24h volume
$457.4K
Liquidity
$462.8K
Total volume
$1.2M
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Polymarket
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1 pts
- Best bid
- 99.9%
- Best ask
- 100.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026