ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 42d ago
Will trump say something about Canadian wildfires smoke today?
Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- July 17, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will trump say something about Canadian wildfires smoke today? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 24, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 17, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ951.1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ951.1
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 99.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 17, 2026
Related markets
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YESTrust 70
Polymarket$24.2K 24h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%YESTrust 89
Polymarket$72.9K 24h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56%YESTrust 86
Polymarket$58.4K 24h
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%YESTrust 90
Polymarket$373.1K 24h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40%YESTrust 60
Polymarket$41K 24h
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%YESTrust 91
Polymarket$352.1K 24h