Snap market: will my friend make it to the train station by 10 AM??
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 79.6%
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 5:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Snap market: will my friend make it to the train station by 10 AM?? The last traded Manifold probability before the deadline was 79.6%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- August 30, 2026 at 6:37 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 5:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 36m ago
What this market actually measures
Going somewhere which involves catching a train at 10AM, friend and I went to bed quite late - do you think he will make it on time??
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Going somewhere which involves catching a train at 10AM, friend and I went to bed quite late - do you think he will make it on time??
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ147.9
Liquidity
Ṁ250
Total volume
Ṁ147.9
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —