Any new Claude or GPT before end of August 2026?
Final price
5.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 5.6%.
- Final market price
- 5.6%
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Any new Claude or GPT before end of August 2026? The final Manifold price was 5.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 5.6%.
- Market data as of
- September 2, 2026 at 9:21 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 16, 2026 at 4:57 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Will Anthropic release a new Claude or will OpenAI release a new GPT before the end of August 2026?
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Will Anthropic release a new Claude or will OpenAI release a new GPT before the end of August 2026?
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