Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Polymarket)
This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Final market price
- 0.1%
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? The final Polymarket price was 0.1%. This market has resolved. The final Polymarket price was 0.1%.
- Market data as of
- September 1, 2026 at 2:13 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Polymarket
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 50d ago
What this market actually measures
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.